LEADER 00990nam0 2200289 450 001 000000811 005 20221004141043.0 010 $a88-386-0293-X 100 $a20000225d1994----km-y0itay50------ba 101 1 $aita 102 $aIT 200 1 $aGuida a Word 6 per Windows$fThe Cobb Group$gcon M. David Stone, Alfred Poor, Mark Crane 210 $aMilano [et al.]$cMcGraw-Hill libri Italia$d1994 215 $aXVIII, 875 p.$cill.$d24 cm 304 $aTit. orig.: Word 6 for Windows companion 304 $aIn copertina: La guida pił completa a tutte le funzioni di Word 6 per Windows 610 1 $aVideoscrittura 610 1 $aMicroelaboratori elelttronici$aProgrammi Microsoft 676 $a001.6 702 1$aStone,$bM. David 702 1$aPoor,$bAlfred 710 02$aThe Cobb Group$0629965 801 0$aIT$bUNIPARTHENOPE$gRICA$2UNIMARC 912 $a000000811 951 $cPIST$aP1 001-G/1$b32770$d20000225 996 $aGuida a Word 6 per Windows$91223236 997 $aUNIPARTHENOPE LEADER 03880oam 22010214 450 001 9910155013803321 005 20250426110650.0 010 $a9781475555530 010 $a1475555539 010 $a9781475555561 010 $a1475555563 035 $a(CKB)3710000000973027 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4867569 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4867569 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr11391093 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL974487 035 $a(OCoLC)965708323 035 $a(IMF)WPIEA2016228 035 $aWPIEA2016228 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000973027 100 $a20020129d2016 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $2rdacontent 182 $2rdamedia 183 $2rdacarrier 200 10$aForecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks /$fSylwia Nowak, Pratiti Chatterjee 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2016. 215 $a1 online resource (15 pages) $cillustrations (some color), tables 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 311 08$a9781475555523 311 08$a1475555520 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 330 3 $aMacroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These common factors matter most for advanced economies and G- 20 countries. The results suggest that an increase in uncertainty-driven overoptimism has dampening effects on next-year real GDP growth rates. This implies that incorporating the common structure governing forecast errors across countries can help improve subsequent forecasts. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2016/228 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zUnited States 606 $aExports and Imports$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aForecasting$2imf 606 $aForecasting and Other Model Applications$2imf 606 $aCriteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty$2imf 606 $aBusiness Fluctuations$2imf 606 $aCycles$2imf 606 $aCurrent Account Adjustment$2imf 606 $aShort-term Capital Movements$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aPrices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)$2imf 606 $aInternational economics$2imf 606 $aEconomic Forecasting$2imf 606 $aEconomic growth$2imf 606 $aCurrent account balance$2imf 606 $aEconomic forecasting$2imf 606 $aBusiness cycles$2imf 606 $aBalance of payments$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 7$aExports and Imports 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aForecasting 615 7$aForecasting and Other Model Applications 615 7$aCriteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty 615 7$aBusiness Fluctuations 615 7$aCycles 615 7$aCurrent Account Adjustment 615 7$aShort-term Capital Movements 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aPrices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) 615 7$aInternational economics 615 7$aEconomic Forecasting 615 7$aEconomic growth 615 7$aCurrent account balance 615 7$aEconomic forecasting 615 7$aBusiness cycles 615 7$aBalance of payments 615 7$aPrices 676 $a338.54430973 700 $aNowak$b Sylwia$01116335 701 $aChatterjee$b Pratiti$01378999 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910155013803321 996 $aForecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks$93653006 997 $aUNINA