LEADER 03999oam 22008894 450 001 9910155013103321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4755-5578-4 010 $a1-4755-5583-0 035 $a(CKB)3710000000973034 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4867571 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4867571 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr11391095 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL974480 035 $a(OCoLC)965708779 035 $a(IMF)WPIEA2016230 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000973034 100 $a20020129d2016 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $2rdacontent 182 $2rdamedia 183 $2rdacarrier 200 10$aFiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates : $eDoes Politics Matter? /$fJoão Tovar Jalles, Carlos Mulas-Granados, José Tavares 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2016. 215 $a1 online resource (30 pages) $cillustrations, tables 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 311 $a1-4755-5576-8 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 330 3 $aWe look at the effect of exchange rate regimes on fiscal discipline, taking into account the effect of underlying political conditions. We present a model where strong politics (defined as policymakers facing longer political horizon and higher cohesion) are associated with better fiscal performance, but fixed exchange rates may revert this result and lead to less fiscal discipline. We confirm these hypotheses through regression analysis performed on a panel sample covering 79 countries from 1975 to 2012. Our empirical results also show that the positive effect of strong politics on fiscal discipline is not enough to counter the negative impact of being at/moving to fixed exchange rates. Finally, we use the synthetic control method to illustrate how the transition from flexible to fully fixed exchange rate under the Euro impacted negatively fiscal discipline in European countries. Our results are robust to a number of important sensitivity checks, including different estimators, alternative proxies for fiscal discipline, and sub-sample analysis. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2016/230 606 $aForeign exchange rates$xPolitical aspects 606 $aForeign Exchange$2imf 606 $aPublic Finance$2imf 606 $aStructure, Scope, and Performance of Government$2imf 606 $aNational Deficit Surplus$2imf 606 $aDebt$2imf 606 $aDebt Management$2imf 606 $aSovereign Debt$2imf 606 $aCurrency$2imf 606 $aForeign exchange$2imf 606 $aPublic finance & taxation$2imf 606 $aExchange rate arrangements$2imf 606 $aConventional peg$2imf 606 $aGovernment asset and liability management$2imf 606 $aExchange rate flexibility$2imf 606 $aExchange rates$2imf 606 $aPublic financial management (PFM)$2imf 606 $aFinance, Public$2imf 607 $aAustria$2imf 615 0$aForeign exchange rates$xPolitical aspects. 615 7$aForeign Exchange 615 7$aPublic Finance 615 7$aStructure, Scope, and Performance of Government 615 7$aNational Deficit Surplus 615 7$aDebt 615 7$aDebt Management 615 7$aSovereign Debt 615 7$aCurrency 615 7$aForeign exchange 615 7$aPublic finance & taxation 615 7$aExchange rate arrangements 615 7$aConventional peg 615 7$aGovernment asset and liability management 615 7$aExchange rate flexibility 615 7$aExchange rates 615 7$aPublic financial management (PFM) 615 7$aFinance, Public 676 $a332.45 700 $aJalles$b João Tovar$01378689 701 $aMulas-Granados$b Carlos$0502576 701 $aTavares$b José$01451324 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910155013103321 996 $aFiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates$93651459 997 $aUNINA