LEADER 03463nam 2200625Ia 450 001 9910144695803321 005 20170816115725.0 010 $a1-282-30753-3 010 $a9786612307539 010 $a0-470-31678-0 010 $a0-470-31745-0 035 $a(CKB)1000000000687541 035 $a(EBL)469965 035 $a(OCoLC)264615255 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000337165 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11258503 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000337165 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10287639 035 $a(PQKB)10665759 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC469965 035 $a(PPN)159488133 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000687541 100 $a19880621d1989 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aEmpirical model building$b[electronic resource] /$fJames R. Thompson 210 $aNew York $cWiley$dc1989 215 $a1 online resource (264 p.) 225 0 $aWiley series in probability and mathematical statistics. Probability and mathematical statistics,$x0271-6232 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-471-60105-5 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aEmpirical Model Building; Contents; Introduction; 1. Models of Growth and Decay; 1.1. A Simple Pension and Annuity Plan; 1.2. Income Tax Bracket Creep; 1.3. Retirement of a Mortgage; 1.4. Some Mathematical Descriptions of the Model of Malthus; 1.5. Metastasis and Resistance; 2. Models of Competition, Combat, and Epidemic; 2.1. An Analysis of the Demographics of Ancient Israel Based on Figures in the Books of Numbers, Judges, and II Samuel; 2.2. The Plague and John Graunt's Life Table; 2.3. Modular Wargaming; 2.4. Predation and Immune Response Systems; 2.5. Pyramid Clubs for Fun and Profit 327 $a2.6. A Simple Model of AIDS3. Simulation and the Coming Qualitative Change in Scientific ModeIing; 3.1. Simulation-Based Techniques for Dealing with Problems Usually Approached via Differential Equation Modeling; 3.2. SIMDAT: An Algorithm for Data-Based Simulation; 3.3 Simulation-Based Estimation; 4. Some Techniques of Nonstandard Data Analysis; 4.1. A Glimpse at Exploratory Data Analysis; 4.2. Nonparametric Density Estimation; 5. Paradoxes and False Trails; 5.1. Some Problems with Group Consensus; 5.2. Stein's Paradox; 5.3. Fuzzy Set Theory; 5.4. Quality Control; Appendix 327 $aA.1. A Brief Primer in StochasticsA.2. A Simple Optimization Algorithm that Usually Works; Index 330 $aA hands-on approach to the basic principles of empirical model building. Includes a series of real-world statistical problems illustrating modeling skills and techniques. Covers models of growth and decay, systems where competition and interaction add to the complexity of the model, and discusses both classical and nonclassical data analysis methods. 410 0$aWiley Series in Probability and Statistics 606 $aExperimental design 606 $aMathematical models 606 $aMathematical statistics 615 0$aExperimental design. 615 0$aMathematical models. 615 0$aMathematical statistics. 676 $a519.5 700 $aThompson$b James R$g(James Robert),$f1938-$0141788 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910144695803321 996 $aEmpirical model building$9835657 997 $aUNINA