LEADER 05464nam 2200709 a 450 001 9910141479703321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-118-60277-3 010 $a1-299-18779-X 010 $a1-118-60287-0 010 $a1-118-60281-1 035 $a(CKB)2670000000327705 035 $a(EBL)1120765 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000834410 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11519937 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000834410 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10980617 035 $a(PQKB)11123186 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1120765 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10657626 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL450029 035 $a(OCoLC)827947091 035 $a(CaSebORM)9781118602812 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1120765 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000327705 100 $a20110725d2011 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aWeak signals for strategic intelligence$b[electronic resource] $eanticipation tool for managers /$fHumbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca 205 $a1st edition 210 $aLondon $cISTE ;$aHoboken, N.J. $cWiley$dc2011 215 $a1 online resource (246 p.) 225 1 $aISTE 300 $aAdaption and rev. of: Les signaux faibles et la veille anticipative pour les decideurs. 2011. 311 $a1-84821-318-2 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aCover; Weak Signals for Strategic Intelligence; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; Introduction; Chapter 1. Concepts, Issues and Hypotheses; 1.1. Introduction: governance and radar; 1.1.1. Steering the ship; 1.1.2. Corporate governance and strategic decision-making; 1.1.3. The ship's radar (radio detection and ranging); 1.1.4. The organization's "radar", a tool for its governability; 1.2. The organization's environment and its governance through a "storm"; 1.2.1. The ship, the ocean, and any danger to be faced 327 $a1.2.2. The enterprise, its environment, uncertainty, hazards, and opportunities1.2.3. Scrutinizing and interpreting the environment; 1.3. Anticipation (act of looking forward); 1.3.1. Anticipating: definition and examples; 1.3.2. Do not confuse anticipation with forecasting; 1.3.3. Anticipation and scenario-based prospective: possible complementarity; 1.3.4. Anticipating odd events, discontinuities, anomalies, etc; 1.4. Anticipative information: two types; 1.4.1. Definition; 1.4.2. Difference between strategic information and day-to-day management information 327 $a1.4.3. Two types of anticipative information1.5. Weak signals; 1.5.1. Definition of a weak signal; 1.5.2. An example of weak signal as the trigger to a warning; 1.5.3. Should we prefer a "strong" but backward-looking signal, or a "weak" but forward-looking signal?; 1.5.4. Conversion, transformation of a weak signal into an early warning signal; 1.5.5. Should we refer to a "signal" or a "sign"? Intentionality of the sender; 1.5.6. Weak signals... or decoys, deceptions, and information asymmetry; 1.5.7. Characteristics of a weak signal: "stealthy information" 327 $a1.5.8. Sources emitting weak signals: examples1.6. Detecting weak signals; 1.6.1. Individual intelligence (in the Latin sense of the word): a definition; 1.6.2. Cognitive style of a person; 1.6.3. Individual cognitive biases; 1.6.4. Fear; 1.7. Interpreting, amplifying and exploiting weak signals to support strategic decision making; 1.7.1. Need for collective intelligence (CI) for interpreting weak signals; 1.7.2. CM: justification and definition of the process; 1.7.3. Definition of CI as the emergence of CCM; 1.7.4. From CCM to knowledge management 327 $a1.8. PuzzleŽ method for the operationalization of CCM1.8.1. Issue: why the puzzle metaphor?; 1.8.2. Definition of the PuzzleŽ method; 1.8.3. Fundamental hypotheses of the PuzzleŽ method; 1.8.4. Work group and CI; 1.9. Global VASIC process for detecting, recognizing and utilizing weak signals; 1.9.1. Targeting of anticipative scanning and information sources; 1.9.2. Tracking and individual selection of weak signals; 1.9.3. Escalating information, collective/centralized selection and storage; 1.9.4. Dissemination and preparation of information for CCM sessions; 1.9.5. Animation 327 $a1.9.6. Measurements: performance indicators of the VASIC process 330 $aThe expression ""We did not see it coming!"" has often been heard in recent years from decision makers at the highest levels of the private and public sectors. Yet there were actually early warning signals, but they were often ignored due to a lack of appropriate methodology. Focusing on the concept of a weak signal, this book provides methods for anticipating problems and dealing with blind spots. Along with examples of this concept, the authors provide answers to questions of feasibility, including how to recognize a weak signal, and how to exploit it. Numerous applications are also presente 410 0$aISTE 606 $aStrategic planning 606 $aManagement 615 0$aStrategic planning. 615 0$aManagement. 676 $a658.4/72 700 $aLesca$b Humbert$0946688 701 $aLesca$b Nicolas$0932123 701 $aLesca$b Humbert$0946688 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910141479703321 996 $aWeak signals for strategic intelligence$92218602 997 $aUNINA