LEADER 06527nam 2200793 a 450 001 9910140734103321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-282-79722-0 010 $a9786612797224 010 $a0-8330-4870-8 035 $a(CKB)2670000000033345 035 $a(EBL)557166 035 $a(OCoLC)652654390 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000424826 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11267436 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000424826 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10474699 035 $a(PQKB)10019184 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC557166 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4969969 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL557166 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10404203 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4969969 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL279722 035 $a(OCoLC)1027157136 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000033345 100 $a20100224d2010 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 00$aPakistan $ecan the United States secure an insecure state? /$fC. Christine Fair ... [et al.] 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND$dc2010 215 $a1 online resource (261 p.) 225 1 $aRand Corporation monograph series ;$vMG-910-AF 300 $a"MG-910-AF"--P. [4] of cover. 300 $a"RAND Project Air Force." 311 $a0-8330-4807-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 203-232). 327 $aCover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE - Introduction; Purpose; Organization; Research Approach; CHAPTER TWO - Pakistan's Future: Is Past Prologue?; Failed Constitutionalism and Governance; Central Governance in Dispute; The Center's Relations with the Provinces and Other Areas; The Army: Guarantor of an Insecure State?; The Army's Preeminent Role in Decision making; Regional Security and Risk Taking; Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons: Sources of Security and Insecurity; Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons; The Proliferation Challenges 327 $aOrganization and Security of Pakistan's Nuclear Infrastructure International Significance of Pakistan's Nuclear Challenges; Pakistan's Problematic Political Landscape; Principal Political Parties; Pakistan's Internal Security Challenges; Islamism, Militancy, and the State; The Post-9/11 Militant Landscape; Demographic Trends; Population Growth; Urbanization; The Economy; Economic Growth; Inflation and Fiscal Balance; Employment, Income Growth, and Poverty; Economic Outlook; Social Development; Education; Health; Concluding Remarks 327 $aCHAPTER THREE - Pakistan's Ability to Mitigate Sources of Insecurity The Constitution and Civil-Military Relations; Radical Reform Needed for Pakistan's Political Parties; Reasons for Optimism?; Taming the Military?; Countering Internal Security Threats; The Strategic Use of Militants; The Pakistan Government's Ability to Tackle the Militant Threat; Pakistan's Foreign Policy; Foreign Policy Objectives; Foreign Policymaking; Pakistan's Alliances and Regional Insecurities; Economic Policies; Macroeconomic Policies; Government Defense Spending and Other Military Revenues 327 $aRegulatory Policies and Privatization Policies for Social Development; Population Policy; Health Policy; Education Policy; Conclusions; CHAPTER FOUR - How Effective Have U.S. Policies Toward Pakistan Been?; Divergent Priorities and Conflicted Aims: U.S. and Pakistani Objectives; U.S. Objectives; Pakistan's Objectives; The Problem of Conflicting Goals; Engaging Pakistan: U.S. Policy Instruments and Their Effectiveness; Security Assistance Programs; Military Reimbursement; Arms Sales and Military Training; The Security Development Plan; Other Assistance for Internal Security 327 $aAssistance That Is Unrelated to Security Economic and Development Assistance; Non-U.S. Economic and Development Assistance to Pakistan; U.S. Public Diplomacy and Democracy Promotion Efforts; The Downsides of "Conditionality"; The Downsides of U.S. Support for Individual Pakistani Leaders; Conclusions; CHAPTER FIVE - U.S. Policy Options for Pakistan; Learn the Lessons of the Past; A New Strategy for Pakistan; Develop Alternative Supply Routes for Operations in Afghanistan; Work with Pakistan's Key Supporters to Develop Cooperative Policies; Forge a Strategic Dialogue with Pakistan 327 $aRebalance U.S. Assistance to Increase Support to Pakistan's Civilian Institutions and People 330 $aDescribing Pakistan's likely future course, this book seeks to inform U.S. efforts to achieve an effective foreign policy strategy toward the country. The book forms an empirical analysis of developments in Pakistan and an assessment of the effectiveness of U.S. policy as of August 2009. Drawing on interviews of elites, polling data, and statistical data on Pakistan's armed forces, the book presents a political and political-military analysis. Primary data and analyses from Pakistanis and international economic organizations are used in the book's demographic and economic analyses. The book assesses Pakistan's own policies, based on similar sources, on government documents, and on the authors' close reading of the assessments of several outside observers. The book also discusses U.S. policy regarding Pakistan, which was based on interviews with U.S. policymakers and on U.S. policy documents. The policy recommendations are based on an assessment of the findings in all these areas. The book concludes with a number of recommendations for the U.S. government and the U.S. Air Force concerning how the United States could forge a broad yet effective relationship with this complicated state. --Publisher description. 410 0$aRand Corporation monograph series ;$vMG-910-AF. 606 $aMilitary assistance, American$zPakistan 606 $aInternal security$zPakistan 607 $aUnited States$xForeign relations$zPakistan 607 $aPakistan$xForeign relations$zUnited States 607 $aUnited States$xMilitary relations$zPakistan 607 $aPakistan$xMilitary relations$zUnited States 615 0$aMilitary assistance, American 615 0$aInternal security 676 $a327.7305491 701 $aFair$b C. Christine$0860831 712 02$aProject Air Force (U.S.) 712 02$aRand Corporation. 712 02$aUnited States.$bAir Force. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910140734103321 996 $aPakistan$92475920 997 $aUNINA