LEADER 01066nam0 22002773i 450 001 VAN00270044 005 20240806101529.116 017 70$2N$a9781461404361 100 $a20240125d2011 |0itac50 ba 101 $aeng 102 $aUS 105 $a|||| ||||| 200 1 $aBrain, Mind and Consciousness$eAdvances in Neuroscience Research$fPetr Bob 210 $aNew York$cSpringer$d2011 215 $aVIII, 142 p.$d24 cm 620 $aUS$dNew York$3VANL000011 700 1$aBob$bPetr$3VANV093972$0765063 712 $aSpringer $3VANV108073$4650 801 $aIT$bSOL$c20240906$gRICA 856 4 $uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-0436-1$zE-book ? Accesso al full-text attraverso riconoscimento IP di Ateneo, proxy e/o Shibboleth 899 $aBIBLIOTECA CENTRO DI SERVIZIO SBA$2VAN15 912 $fN 912 $aVAN00270044 950 $aBIBLIOTECA CENTRO DI SERVIZIO SBA$d15CONS SBA EBOOK 11833 $e15EB 11833 20240125 996 $aBrain, Mind and Consciousness$93670156 997 $aUNICAMPANIA LEADER 04705oam 22011774 450 001 9910965593203321 005 20250426110553.0 010 $a9786612843891 010 $a9781462368884 010 $a1462368883 010 $a9781452748047 010 $a1452748047 010 $a9781282843899 010 $a1282843893 010 $a9781451873252 010 $a1451873255 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055330 035 $a(EBL)1608415 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001477421 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11818672 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001477421 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11450170 035 $a(PQKB)11762841 035 $a(OCoLC)649426821 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2009178 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1608415 035 $a(IMF)WPIEA2009178 035 $aWPIEA2009178 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055330 100 $a20020129d2009 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aIncorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart /$fPrakash Kannan, Selim Elekdag 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2009. 215 $a1 online resource (23 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"August 2009." 311 08$a9781451917512 311 08$a1451917511 327 $aContents; I. Introduction; II. Outline of Theory; A. Characterizing the Distribution of Global Growth; Box; 1. The Two-Piece Normal Distribution; B. Constructing Confidence Intervals; III. Using Survey- and Market-Based Information; Figures; 1. Constructing Confidence Intervals; A. Survey-based Measures; B. Market-based Measures; IV. An Example: Forecasting Global Growth; A. Choice of Risk Factors; Tables; 1. Estimated Elasticities and Skewness Coefficients; B. Estimating the Weighting Parameters .; C. Constructing the Fan Chart; D. Interpreting the Results 327 $a2. Dispersion of Forecasts for GDP and Selected Risk FactorsV. Conclusions; 3. Fan Chart for Global Growth and Skewness of Risk Factors; 4. Fan Chart for Global Growth Based on Direct Estimates of Variance and Skew; References 330 3 $aThis paper develops a simple procedure for incorporating market-based information into the construction of fan charts. Using the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s global growth forecast as a working example, the paper goes through the theoretical and practical considerations of this new approach. The resulting spreadsheet, which implements the approach, is available upon request from the authors. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2009/178 606 $aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models 606 $aTime-series analysis 606 $aAsset prices$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aDerivative securities$2imf 606 $aEconomic Forecasting$2imf 606 $aEnergy: Demand and Supply$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aFinancial Instruments$2imf 606 $aForecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications$2imf 606 $aGdp forecasting$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aInstitutional Investors$2imf 606 $aInvestments: Options$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aNational income$2imf 606 $aNon-bank Financial Institutions$2imf 606 $aOil prices$2imf 606 $aOptions$2imf 606 $aPension Funds$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models. 615 0$aTime-series analysis. 615 7$aAsset prices 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aDerivative securities 615 7$aEconomic Forecasting 615 7$aEnergy: Demand and Supply 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aFinancial Instruments 615 7$aForecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications 615 7$aGdp forecasting 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aInstitutional Investors 615 7$aInvestments: Options 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aNational income 615 7$aNon-bank Financial Institutions 615 7$aOil prices 615 7$aOptions 615 7$aPension Funds 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aPrices 676 $a336.54 700 $aKannan$b Prakash$01800219 701 $aElekdag$b Selim$01104193 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910965593203321 996 $aIncorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart$94371346 997 $aUNINA