04179nam 2200733 a 450 99632021160331620210209220943.01-282-03321-297866120332160-8330-4636-5(CKB)1000000000718893(EBL)423171(OCoLC)476261212(SSID)ssj0000134744(PQKBManifestationID)11147981(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000134744(PQKBWorkID)10076876(PQKB)11696745(MiAaPQ)EBC423171(MiAaPQ)EBC4970017(Au-PeEL)EBL4970017(CaONFJC)MIL203321(OCoLC)1027164475(EXLCZ)99100000000071889320080606d2008 uy 0engurcnu||||||||txtccrDangerous thresholds[electronic resource] managing escalation in the 21st century /Forrest E. Morgan ... [et al.]Santa Monica, CA RAND Project Air Force20081 online resource (275 p.)Rand Corporation monograph series"MG-614-AF"--P. [4] of cover."Prepared for the United States Air Force."0-8330-4213-0 Includes bibliographical references (p. 225-245).Cover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Background; Contemporary Challenges; Purpose of This Monograph; Organization and Approach; CHAPTER TWO- The Nature of Escalation; Understanding Escalation; Dimensions of Escalation: Vertical, Horizontal, and Political; Escalation Mechanisms; Complexity in Escalation; Motives for Escalation; Dynamics of Escalation; Escalation and Instability in the 21st Century; Anticipating and Managing Escalation; CHAPTER THREE- China's Thinking on Escalation: Evidence from Chinese Military WritingsIntroduction Background and Conceptual Issues; Understanding Chinese Views on Escalation and War Control; Assessing Chinese Escalation Behavior Through the Lens of the Second Artillery Doctrine; Second Artillery Nuclear Operations and Escalation; Second Artillery Conventional Missile Strike Campaigns; Chinese Views on Space Warfare and Escalation; Conclusion; CHAPTER FOUR- Regional Nuclear Powers; Escalation Risks Inherent in Emergent Nuclear Capability; Sources of Regional Instability; Conclusion; CHAPTER FIVE- Escalation in Irregular Warfare; Irregular Warfare's Many Paths of EscalationEscalation in Stability Operations: Two Illustrative Cases Escalation in the Global Jihad; Escalation Management in the Struggle Against Global Jihad; Conclusion; CHAPTER SIX- Managing Escalation in a Complex World; The First Step in Managing Escalation Is Understanding Its Nature; Managing Escalation Risks in Today's World; Recommendations for the U.S. Air Force; APPENDIX A- China, Force, and Escalation: Continuities Between Historical Behavior and Contemporary Writings; APPENDIX B- Case Studies of Escalation in Stability Operations; APPENDIX C- Modified Method for Delphi AnalysesBibliographyThis analysis of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on a range of historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global Jihad to inform escalation-related decision making.Rand Corporation monograph series.Escalation (Military science)Conflict managementSecurity, International21st centuryWorld politics21st centuryElectronic books.Escalation (Military science)Conflict management.Security, InternationalWorld politics355.02Morgan Forrest E879915Project Air Force (U.S.)United States.Air Force.MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK996320211603316Dangerous thresholds2874367UNISA