04742nam 2200817 a 450 99632019760331620230725032249.01-283-26808-697866132680820-8330-5247-0(CKB)2670000000114027(EBL)768125(OCoLC)749265003(SSID)ssj0000537122(PQKBManifestationID)11324359(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000537122(PQKBWorkID)10553839(PQKB)10420648(Au-PeEL)EBL768125(CaPaEBR)ebr10497680(MiAaPQ)EBC768125(EXLCZ)99267000000011402720110524d2011 uh 0engurcn|||||||||txtccrGlobal demographic change and its implications for military power /Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. TaylorSanta Monica, CA RAND20111 online resource (xxviii, 141 pages) color illustrationsRand Corporation monograph series"Project Air Force.""MG-1091-AF"--P. [4] of cover.0-8330-5177-6 Includes bibliographical references.Cover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; Chapter One: Introduction; Organization; Chapter Two: Numbers; Fertility Rates; Survival Rates; Migration; Projections; Youth Bulges to Come?; Projected Muslim Populations; Conclusions; Chapter Three: Long-Term Trends in National GDP; Forecasts of GDP per Working-Age Population; Uncertainties in the Relationship Between Aging and GDP; Conclusions; Chapter Four: The Economic Burden of Aging Populations; Policies Plus People Equals Burden; A Profile of the Aging WorldThe Advanced Countries The Developing Countries; Medical Expenditures; Ambiguities in the Relationship Between Aging and Medical Expenditures; Counter evidence That Costs May Rise with Aging; Summing Up Aging and Medical Costs; Pension Expenditures and the Fiscal Burden; Implications for the Fiscal Burden, or the Lack Thereof; Conclusions; Chapter Five: The Influence of Demographics on the Causes of War; Chapter Six: The Impact of Demographic Trends on Military Power Projection; Manpower, Money, and Technical Expertise; Manpower; National Income; Technical Expertise; OtherThe Contribution of Demographics to Various Military Missions Nuclear Coercion; Commons Control; Surveillance; Conventional Combat; Raids and Seizures; Counterinsurgency; Military Operations Other Than War; Implications; Chapter Seven: Implications; Findings; Major Themes; The Once and Future Indispensable Nation; The Shrinking Zone of War; Lessons for the Air Force; Appendixes; Appendix A:Delayed Maternity and Fertility Rates; Appendix B:Trade-Offs Between Fertility Rates and Migration Rates; BibliographyWhat is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions.Rand Corporation monograph series.Armed ForcesMobilizationForecastingBalance of powerForecastingMilitary policyForecastingDemographic transitionManpower policyUnited StatesPopulation agingEconomic aspectsSecurity, InternationalEconomic aspectsWarForecastingUnited StatesMilitary policyForecastingUnited StatesPopulationForecastingArmed ForcesMobilizationForecasting.Balance of powerForecasting.Military policyForecasting.Demographic transition.Manpower policyPopulation agingEconomic aspects.Security, InternationalEconomic aspects.WarForecasting.355/.033073Libicki Martin C877014Shatz Howard J935274Taylor Julie E.1968-935275Project Air Force (U.S.)MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK996320197603316Global demographic change and its implications for military power2106447UNISA