04595nam 2200613Ia 450 991100688860332120200520144314.01-281-91126-797866119112630-08-092345-3(CKB)1000000000547763(EBL)365642(OCoLC)290980630(SSID)ssj0000072839(PQKBManifestationID)11969697(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000072839(PQKBWorkID)10102768(PQKB)11512097(MiAaPQ)EBC365642(EXLCZ)99100000000054776320080630d2008 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrQuantifying and controlling catastrophic risks /B. John Garrick ; contributors, Robert F. Christie ... [et al.]Amsterdam ;Boston Academic Press/Elsevierc20081 online resource (374 p.)Description based upon print version of record.0-12-374601-9 Includes bibliographical references and index.es.Front Cover; Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks; Copyright Page; Dedication Page; About the Author; Acknowledgments; Foreword; Preface; Chapter 1: Societal Risks in Need of Understanding and Action; 1.1. The Target Risks; 1.2. The Quantitative Definition of Risk; 1.3. The Process of Quantitative Risk Assessment; 1.4. The Meaning of Quantification; 1.5. Form of the Results of a Quantitative Risk Assessment; References; Chapter 2: Analytical Foundations of Quantitative Risk Assessment; 2.1. Quantitative Definition of Risk; 2.2. The Scenario Approach to Quantitative Risk Assessment2.4. Quantification of the ScenariosReferences; Chapter 3: Case Study 1: Risk of a Catastrophic Hurricane in New Orleans, LA; 3.1. Summary of the Risk Assessment of a Catastrophic Hurricane Impacting New Orleans, LA; References; Chapter 4: Case Study 2: Risk of Asteroids Impacting the Earth; 4.3. Future Action; 4.4. The Risk from an Asteroid Impacting New Orleans; References; Chapter 5: Case Study 3: Terrorist Attack on the National Electrical Grid; 5.1. Summary of Insights from the Scoping Analysis; References; Chapter 6: Case Study 4: Abrupt Climate ChangeChapter 7: Examples of Risks Having the Potential for Catastrophic Consequences7.1. Nuclear War; 7.7. Species Destruction: Tropical Rainforests; 7.12. Super Earthquakes; 7.14. Nanotechnology; 7.15. Population Management; References; Chapter 8: The Rational Management of Catastrophic Risks; 8.1. Benefits of Quantitative Risk Assessment; 8.3. Comparing Quantitative Risks Using the Case Studies; 8.4. Observations from the Case Studies; 8.5. Insights from Comparing Risks; 8.6. Where Do We Go from Here?; Appendix A: Roots of Quantitative Risk Assessment with an ExampleA.3. Steps That Have Evolved for Integrated Quantitative Risk AssessmentReferences; Appendix B: Supporting Evidence for the Case Study of the Hurricane Risk in New Orleans, LA; B.1. Hurricane Risk Assessment for the Period 1900-2004; Appendix C: Supporting Evidence for the Case Study on Asteroid Risk; C.1. Asteroid Risk Assessment for the 48 Contiguous States of the United States of America; C.2. Asteroid Risk Assessment for Metropolitan New Orleans, LA; References; Author Index; Subject IndexThe perception, assessment and management of risk are increasingly important core principles for determining the development of both policy and strategic responses to civil and environmental catastrophes. Whereas these principles were once confined to some areas of activity i.e. financial and insurance, they are now widely used in civil and environmental engineering. Comprehensive and readable, Civil and Environmental Risk: Mitigation and Control, provides readers with the mathematical tools and quantitative methods for determining the probability of a catastrophic event and mitigating and conEmergency managementDisastersRisk assessmentRisk assessmentEmergency management.DisastersRisk assessment.Risk assessment.363.342363.342Garrick B. John1824653Christie Robert F1824654MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9911006888603321Quantifying and controlling catastrophic risks4391869UNINA