09730oam 22019334 450 991096619530332120250426110831.0978147559287014755928769781498381154149838115497814843625011484362500(CKB)2670000000587895(EBL)1899705(SSID)ssj0001435812(PQKBManifestationID)11814734(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001435812(PQKBWorkID)11434050(PQKB)10883534(MiAaPQ)EBC1899705(Au-PeEL)EBL1899705(CaPaEBR)ebr11001054(CaONFJC)MIL682312(OCoLC)898771122(IMF)WPIEE2014200(IMF)WPIEA2014200WPIEA2014200(EXLCZ)99267000000058789520020129d2014 uf 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrPolicy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach /Francis Vitek1st ed.Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,2014.1 online resource (96 p.)IMF Working PapersDescription based upon print version of record.9781616355784 1616355786 9781322510309 132251030X Includes bibliographical references.Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Theoretical Framework; A. The Household Sector; Consumption and Saving; Labor Supply; B. The Production Sector; Output Demand; Labor Demand and Investment; Output Supply; C. The Trade Sector; The Export Sector; The Import Sector; D. Monetary and Fiscal Policy; The Monetary Authority; The Fiscal Authority; E. Market Clearing Conditions; III. The Empirical Framework; A. Endogenous Variables; B. Exogenous Variables; IV. Estimation; A. Estimation Procedure; Cyclical Components; Parameters; B. Estimation Results; Cyclical Components; ParametersV. Monetary and Fiscal Policy AnalysisA. Impulse Response Functions; B. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions; C. Historical Decompositions; VI. Spillover Analysis; A. Simulated Conditional Betas; B. Impulse Response Functions; VII. Forecasting; VIII. Conclusion; Appendix A. Description of the Data Set; Appendix B. Tables and Figures; Table 1. Structural Parameter Estimation Results; Figure 1. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Productivity Shock; Figure 2. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Labor Supply Shock; Figure 3. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Consumption Demand ShockFigure 4. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Investment Demand ShockFigure 5. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Monetary Policy Shock; Figure 6. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Credit Risk Premium Shock; Figure 7. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Duration Risk Premium Shock; Figure 8. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Equity Risk Premium Shock; Figure 9. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Fiscal Expenditure Shock; Figure 10. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Fiscal Revenue Shock; Figure 11. Impulse Responses to a World Energy Commodity Price Markup ShockFigure 12. Impulse Responses to a World Nonenergy Commodity Price Markup ShockFigure 13. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Consumption Price Inflation; Figure 14. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Output; Figure 15. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Private Consumption; Figure 16. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Private Investment; Figure 17. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Nominal Policy Interest Rate; Figure 18. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Real Effective Exchange RateFigure 19. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Unemployment RateFigure 20. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Fiscal Balance Ratio; Figure 21. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Current Account Balance Ratio; Figure 22. Historical Decompositions of Consumption Price Inflation; Figure 23. Historical Decompositions of Output Growth; Figure 24. Historical Decompositions of the Unemployment Rate; Figure 25. Simulated Conditional Betas of Output; Figure 26. Peak Impulse Responses to Foreign Productivity ShocksFigure 27. Peak Impulse Responses to Foreign Labor Supply ShocksThis paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary and fiscal transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;No. 2014/200Capital movementsEconometric modelsMonetary policyEconometric modelsFiscal policyEconometric modelsBusiness cyclesEconometric modelsBanks and BankingimfEconometricsimfExports and ImportsimfInvestments: GeneralimfMacroeconomicsimfInflationimfBayesian Analysis: GeneralimfMultiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel DataimfModel Construction and EstimationimfForecasting and Other Model ApplicationsimfPrice LevelimfDeflationimfBusiness FluctuationsimfCyclesimfFinancial Markets and the MacroeconomyimfMonetary PolicyimfFiscal PolicyimfOpen Economy MacroeconomicsimfEmpirical Studies of TradeimfInvestmentimfCapitalimfIntangible CapitalimfCapacityimfMacroeconomics: ConsumptionimfSavingimfWealthimfComputable and Other Applied General Equilibrium ModelsimfInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and EffectsimfInternational economicsimfEconometrics & economic statisticsimfBankingimfTerms of tradeimfReturn on investmentimfConsumptionimfDynamic stochastic general equilibrium modelsimfCentral bank policy rateimfNational accountsimfInternational tradeimfEconometric analysisimfPricesimfEconomic policyimfnternational cooperationimfSaving and investmentimfEconomicsimfEconometric modelsimfInterest ratesimfNternational cooperationimfUnited KingdomimfCapital movementsEconometric models.Monetary policyEconometric models.Fiscal policyEconometric models.Business cyclesEconometric models.Banks and BankingEconometricsExports and ImportsInvestments: GeneralMacroeconomicsInflationBayesian Analysis: GeneralMultiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel DataModel Construction and EstimationForecasting and Other Model ApplicationsPrice LevelDeflationBusiness FluctuationsCyclesFinancial Markets and the MacroeconomyMonetary PolicyFiscal PolicyOpen Economy MacroeconomicsEmpirical Studies of TradeInvestmentCapitalIntangible CapitalCapacityMacroeconomics: ConsumptionSavingWealthComputable and Other Applied General Equilibrium ModelsInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and EffectsInternational economicsEconometrics & economic statisticsBankingTerms of tradeReturn on investmentConsumptionDynamic stochastic general equilibrium modelsCentral bank policy rateNational accountsInternational tradeEconometric analysisPricesEconomic policynternational cooperationSaving and investmentEconomicsEconometric modelsInterest ratesNternational cooperation332.820971Vitek Francis1815613DcWaIMFBOOK9910966195303321Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy4371782UNINA