01283nam0 22003373i 450 PUV000849920231121125607.08835080703IT91-5214 20161114d1988 ||||0itac50 baitaitz01i xxxe z01nEducazione senza banalitaStudio di filosofia pratica dell'educazione con un saggio su Hannah ArendtCarla Xodo CegolonBresciaLa Scuola1988174 p.19 cm.Pedagogia e scuola001CFI00046322001 Pedagogia e scuolaPedagogiaFIRRMLC003068E370.1Educazione. Filosofia, teoria, generalità21Xodo, CarlaCFIV058832070199354Xodo Cegolon, CarlaCFIV170247Xodo, CarlaITIT-0120161114IT-FR0017 Biblioteca umanistica Giorgio ApreaFR0017 PUV0008499Biblioteca umanistica Giorgio Aprea 52CIS AC 140 52VM 0000879225 VM barcode:00083461. - Inventario:4178 FSSVMA 2011091520121204 52Educazione senza banalita3612914UNICAS04051nam 2200673Ia 450 991096444250332120240416155342.0978067407602006740760289780674075986067407598610.4159/harvard.9780674075986(CKB)2670000000368510(EBL)3301313(SSID)ssj0000886816(PQKBManifestationID)11548578(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000886816(PQKBWorkID)10835556(PQKB)10243512(MiAaPQ)EBC3301313(DE-B1597)209758(OCoLC)843880768(OCoLC)853269171(DE-B1597)9780674075986(Au-PeEL)EBL3301313(CaPaEBR)ebr10713640(Perlego)1147001(EXLCZ)99267000000036851020121101d2013 uy 0engurnn#---|u||utxtccrTychomancy inferring probability from causal structure /Michael Strevens1st ed.Cambridge, Mass. Harvard University Press20131 online resource (280 p.)Description based upon print version of record.9780674073111 0674073118 Includes bibliographical references and index.Front matter --CONTENTS --FIGURES --AUTHOR'S NOTE --PHYSICAL INTUITION --I. 1859 --1. THE APRIORIST --2. THE HISTORICAL WAY --3. THE LOGICAL WAY --4 THE COGNITIVE WAY --II. EQUIDYNAMICS --5. STIRRING --6. SHAKING --7. BOUNCING --8. UNIFYING --III. BEYOND PHYSICS --9. 1859 AGAIN --10. APPLIED BIOEQUIDYNAMICS --11. INACCURACY, ERROR, AND OTHER FLUCTUATIONS --IV. BEFORE AND AFTER --12. THE EXOGENOUS ZONE --13. THE ELEMENTS OF EQUIDYNAMICS --14. PREHISTORY AND META - HISTORY --NOTES --GLOSSARY --REFERENCES --INDEXTychomancy-meaning "the divination of chances"-presents a set of rules for inferring the physical probabilities of outcomes from the causal or dynamic properties of the systems that produce them. Probabilities revealed by the rules are wide-ranging: they include the probability of getting a 5 on a die roll, the probability distributions found in statistical physics, and the probabilities that underlie many prima facie judgments about fitness in evolutionary biology. Michael Strevens makes three claims about the rules. First, they are reliable. Second, they are known, though not fully consciously, to all human beings: they constitute a key part of the physical intuition that allows us to navigate around the world safely in the absence of formal scientific knowledge. Third, they have played a crucial but unrecognized role in several major scientific innovations. A large part of Tychomancy is devoted to this historical role for probability inference rules. Strevens first analyzes James Clerk Maxwell's extraordinary, apparently a priori, deduction of the molecular velocity distribution in gases, which launched statistical physics. Maxwell did not derive his distribution from logic alone, Strevens proposes, but rather from probabilistic knowledge common to all human beings, even infants as young as six months old. Strevens then turns to Darwin's theory of natural selection, the statistics of measurement, and the creation of models of complex systems, contending in each case that these elements of science could not have emerged when or how they did without the ability to "eyeball" the values of physical probabilities.EmpiricismInferenceProbabilitiesEmpiricism.Inference.Probabilities.003/.1Strevens Michael1145008MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910964442503321Tychomancy4367545UNINA