03436nam 22008175 450 991096057940332120250609110041.0978661028303397814039365301403936536978128028303112802830339780230005815023000581010.1057/9780230005815(CKB)1000000000239555(SSID)ssj0000143427(PQKBManifestationID)11164680(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000143427(PQKBWorkID)10111748(PQKB)10066527(DE-He213)978-0-230-00581-5(MiAaPQ)EBC343796(Au-PeEL)EBL343796(CaPaEBR)ebr10103760(CaONFJC)MIL28303(OCoLC)559941687(Perlego)3478977(MiAaPQ)EBC4323377(EXLCZ)99100000000023955520151123d2005 u| 0engurnn|008mamaatxtccrEconomic Forecasting /by N. Carnot, V. Koen, B. Tissot1st ed. 2005.London :Palgrave Macmillan UK :Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan,2005.1 online resource (XIX, 315 p.) Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph9781403936530 1403936536 9781403936547 1403936544 Includes bibliographical references (p. 292-302) and index.Cover -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- List of Boxes -- Foreword -- Acknowledgements -- Acronyms -- Introduction -- 1 First Principles -- 2 The Data -- 3 Incoming News and Near-Term Forecasting -- 4 Time Series Methods -- 5 Modelling Behaviour -- 6 Macroeconomic Models -- 7 Medium- and Long-Run Projections -- 8 Financial and Commodity Markets -- 9 Budget Forecasts -- 10 Sectoral Forecasting -- 11 Accuracy -- 12 Using the Forecasts -- 13 Communication Challenges -- 14 A Tour of the Forecasting Institutions -- Epilogue -- Bibliography -- Index.Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.MacroeconomicsEconomic policyEconometricsMacroeconomics and Monetary EconomicsEconomic PolicyEconometricsMacroeconomics.Economic policy.Econometrics.Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics.Economic Policy.Econometrics.330/.01/12Carnot Nicolas630463Koen Vincent630464Tissot Bruno630465MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910960579403321Economic forecasting1205400UNINA