02256oam 2200601 450 991070686880332120180221123745.0(CKB)5470000002458778(OCoLC)150694030(OCoLC)654525849(OCoLC)760180422(OCoLC)852763175(OCoLC)1011778149(OCoLC)1022025165(EXLCZ)99547000000245877820070503d2003 ua 0engur|||||||||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierOverview of the federal R&D budget for fiscal year 2004 hearing before the Committee on Science, House of Representatives, One Hundred Eighth Congress, first session, February 13, 2003Washington :U.S. Government Printing Office,2003.1 online resource (iii, 121 pages) mapPaper version available for sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office."Serial no. 108-1."Overview of the federal R&D budget for fiscal year 2004 Federal aid to researchUnited StatesResearch and development contracts, GovernmentUnited StatesScience and stateUnited StatesTechnology and stateUnited StatesFederal aid to researchfastResearch and development contracts, GovernmentfastScience and statefastTechnology and statefastUnited StatesfastLegislative hearings.lcgftFederal aid to researchResearch and development contracts, GovernmentScience and stateTechnology and stateFederal aid to research.Research and development contracts, Government.Science and state.Technology and state.348.01GPONJRLLOCLCEOCLCOOCLCFOCLCQNJRGPOBOOK9910706868803321Overview of the federal R&D budget for fiscal year 20043437363UNINA04488oam 22010454 450 991095980920332120250426110619.0978661382237697814623750281462375022978145198330214519833019781282558243128255824297814519871021451987102(CKB)3360000000443272(EBL)3014393(SSID)ssj0000939933(PQKBManifestationID)11596387(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000939933(PQKBWorkID)10939185(PQKB)10949693(OCoLC)698585655(MiAaPQ)EBC3014393(IMF)WPIEE2006175(IMF)WPIEA2006175WPIEA2006175(EXLCZ)99336000000044327220020129d2006 uf 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrThe Role of Seasonality and Monetary Policy in Inflation Forecasting /Francis Kumah1st ed.Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,2006.1 online resource (27 p.)IMF Working Papers"July 2006".9781451864359 1451864353 Includes bibliographical references.""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. INFLATION AND MONETARY POLICY IN THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC""; ""III. SEASONAL CHARACTERISTICS OF CONSUMER PRICES""; ""IV. MODELING AND FORECASTING INFLATION""; ""V. CONCLUDING REMARKS""; ""References""; ""Appendix. Further Empirical Results""Adequate modeling of the seasonal structure of consumer prices is essential for inflation forecasting. This paper suggests a new econometric approach for jointly determining inflation forecasts and monetary policy stances, particularly where seasonal fluctuations of economic activity and prices are pronounced. In an application of the framework, the paper characterizes and investigates the stability of the seasonal pattern of consumer prices in the Kyrgyz Republic and estimates optimal money growth and implied exchange rate paths along with a jointly determined inflation forecast. The approach uses two broad specifications of an augmented error-correction model-with and without seasonal components. Findings from the paper confirm empirical superiority (in terms of information content and contributions to policymaking) of augmented error-correction models of inflation over single-equation, Box-Jenkins-type general autoregressive seasonal models. Simulations of the estimated errorcorrection models yield optimal monetary policy paths for achieving inflation targets and demonstrate the empirical significance of seasonality and monetary policy in inflation forecasting.IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;No. 2006/175Inflation (Finance)ForecastingMonetary policyConsumer price indexesimfConsumer pricesimfCurrencyimfDeflationimfEconomic ForecastingimfEconomic forecastingimfExchange ratesimfForecasting and Other Model ApplicationsimfForecastingimfForeign ExchangeimfForeign exchangeimfInflationimfMacroeconomicsimfPrice indexesimfPrice LevelimfPricesimfKyrgyz RepublicimfInflation (Finance)Forecasting.Monetary policy.Consumer price indexesConsumer pricesCurrencyDeflationEconomic ForecastingEconomic forecastingExchange ratesForecasting and Other Model ApplicationsForecastingForeign ExchangeForeign exchangeInflationMacroeconomicsPrice indexesPrice LevelPricesKumah Francis1815690DcWaIMFBOOK9910959809203321The Role of Seasonality and Monetary Policy in Inflation Forecasting4371160UNINA