05148nam 22006494a 450 991082642970332120240410184241.00-8330-4328-50-585-24546-0(CKB)111004368712810(EBL)3031499(SSID)ssj0000216762(PQKBManifestationID)12044338(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000216762(PQKBWorkID)10201652(PQKB)11198457(Au-PeEL)EBL3031499(CaPaEBR)ebr2004616(OCoLC)923689172(MiAaPQ)EBC3031499(EXLCZ)9911100436871281019990209d1999 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrAn ounce of prevention, a pound of uncertainty[electronic resource] the cost-effectiveness of school-based drug prevention programs /Jonathan P. Caulkins ... [et al.]1st ed.Santa Monica, CA Rand19991 online resource (207 p.)Description based upon print version of record.0-8330-2560-0 Includes bibliographical references (p. 185-194).""PREFACE""; ""FIGURES""; ""TABLES""; ""SUMMARY""; ""EFFECT PER PROGRAM PARTICIPANT""; ""Proportion of Persons Who Would Have Ever Used Cocaine""; ""Lifetime Cocaine Consumption Per User (grams)""; ""Percentage Reduction in Cocaine Use Due to Prevention Program""; ""Discount Factor""; ""Social Multiplier""; ""Market Multiplier""; ""Causation/Correlation Ratio""; ""Scale-Up Factor""; ""Overall Effectiveness (grams per participant)""; ""COST-EFFECTIVENESS""; ""Program Cost (dollars per participant)""; ""Cost-Effectiveness (kilograms of cocaine consumption averted per million dollars spent)""""AGGREGATE EFFECTS AND OTHER BENEFITS""""CONCLUSION""; ""ACKNOWLEDGMENTS""; ""INTRODUCTION""; ""AN ANALYSIS OF COSTS AND EFFECTIVENESS""; ""BEYOND COST-EFFECTIVENESS""; ""AN ISSUE NOT YET EXAMINED""; ""OUR FOCUS""; ""EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""EFFECT ON COHORT MEMBERS PARTICIPATING IN PROGRAM""; ""Proportion of Cohort That Would Otherwise Use Cocaine""; ""Lifetime Consumption""; ""Program Effect""; ""Discount Factor""; ""Summary""; ""MULTIPLIERS""; ""Social Multiplier""; ""Market Multiplier""; ""QUALIFIERS""; ""INTEGRATING THE FACTORS""; ""Uncertainty""""Sources of Effect""""COST-EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""DEFINING PROGRAM COST""; ""ESTIMATING PROGRAM COST""; ""ESTIMATING COST-EFFECTIVENESS AND THE IMPLICATIONS OF UNCERTAINTY""; ""VARIATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF TIME""; ""OTHER BENEFITS""; ""ESTIMATING THE EFFECT ON USE OF DRUGS OTHER THAN COCAINE""; ""Simple Program Effectiveness""; ""Other Factors""; ""Comparison of Effects""; ""SOCIAL SAVINGS FROM REDUCED DRUG USE""; ""Cocaine""; ""Other Drugs""; ""BENEFITS UNRELATED TO REDUCED DRUG CONSUMPTION""; ""NATIONWIDE IMPLEMENTATION""""IMPLICATIONS FOR THE CURRENT COCAINE EPIDEMIC""""IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE EPIDEMICS""; ""IMPLICATIONS FOR THE LEGALIZATION DEBATE""; ""CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""MODEL PREVENTION PROGRAMS APPEAR TO BE COMPETITIVE WITH ENFORCEMENT""; ""GREAT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT PREVENTION�S COST- EFFECTIVENESS""; ""THE SOURCE OF BENEFITS IS NOT WHAT MIGHT BE EXPECTED""; ""DRUG USE PREVENTION HAS BENEFITS OTHER THAN REDUCED COCAINE USE""; ""A NATIONAL PROGRAM IS AFFORDABLE BUT WILL NOT END THE COCAINE EPIDEMIC""; ""DRUG PREVENTION SHOULD BE CONDUCTED BEFORE IT IS PERCEIVED NECESSARY""""PREVENTION CANNOT SUBSTITUTE FOR ENFORCEMENT IN A LEGALIZATION REGIME""""THE BOTTOM LINE""; ""ESTIMATING AVERAGE LIFETIME COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""HISTORICAL CONSUMPTION DIVIDED BY NUMBER OF USERS""; ""CONSUMPTION PROJECTED THROUGH A MODEL OVER AN INFINITE HORIZON""; ""CONSUMPTION PROJECTED THROUGH A MODEL OVER A FINITE HORIZON""; ""ADJUSTING THE HISTORICAL APPROACH FOR YEARS OF USE""; ""STEADY-STATE ESTIMATE""; ""SUMMARY""; ""PREVENTION�S EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING MARIJUANA INITIATION""""RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AGE OF MARIJUANA INITIATION AND LIFETIME CONSUMPTION OF COCAINE AND MARIJUANA""YouthDrug useUnited StatesPreventionCost effectivenessStudentsDrug useUnited StatesPreventionCost effectivenessCocaine abuseUnited StatesPreventionCost effectivenessDrug abuseStudy and teachingUnited StatesCost effectivenessYouthDrug usePreventionCost effectiveness.StudentsDrug usePreventionCost effectiveness.Cocaine abusePreventionCost effectiveness.Drug abuseStudy and teachingCost effectiveness.362.29/17/0973Caulkins Jonathan P(Jonathan Paul),1965-889404MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910826429703321An ounce of prevention, a pound of uncertainty4067400UNINA