03185nam 2200577 450 991081992500332120230807212524.00-19-025759-80-19-025731-8(CKB)3710000000336186(OCoLC)900193761(CaPaEBR)ebrary11005190(SSID)ssj0001455411(PQKBManifestationID)11783166(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001455411(PQKBWorkID)11392722(PQKB)11146739(MiAaPQ)EBC1920734(Au-PeEL)EBL1920734(CaPaEBR)ebr11005190(CaONFJC)MIL692140(EXLCZ)99371000000033618620150126h20152015 uy 0engurcnu||||||||txtccrThe improbable war China, the United States and the logic of great power conflict /Christopher CokerOxford, [England] ;New York, New York :Oxford University Press,2015.©20151 online resource (230 p.)Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph1-322-60858-X 0-19-939627-2 Includes bibliographical references and index.Introduction -- 1. Historical Analogies and the Logic of History -- 2. Dominant Conflicts and the Logic of Great Power Conflict -- 3. Strategic Narratives and the Logic of Strategy -- 4. War (and its Protean Logic) -- 5. Conclusion -- Bibliography -- IndexThe Improbable War explains why conflict between the USA and China cannot be ruled out. In 1914 war between the Great Powers was considered unlikely, yet it happened. We learn only from history, and popular though the First World War analogy is, the lessons we draw from its outbreak are usually mistaken. Among these errors is the tendency to over-estimate human rationality. All major conflicts of the past 300 years have been about the norms and rules of the international system. In China and the US the world confronts two'exceptional'powers whose values differ markedly, with China bidding to challenge the current order. The'Thucydidean Trap'- when a conservative status quo power confronts a rising new one - may also play its part in precipitating hostilities. To avoid stumbling into an avoidable war both Beijing and Washington need a coherent strategy, which neither of them has. History also reveals that war evolves continually. The next global conflict is likely to be played out in cyberspace and outer space and like all previous wars it will have devastating consequences. Such a war between the United States and China may seem improbable, but it is all too possible, which is why we need to discuss it now.WarUnited StatesForeign relationsChinaChinaForeign relationsUnited StatesWar.355.02Coker Christopher853991MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910819925003321The improbable war4029296UNINA