06127oam 22008295 450 991081278180332120200520144314.01-281-87865-097866118786580-8213-7309-910.1596/978-0-8213-7308-8(CKB)1000000000705396(EBL)459629(OCoLC)299804044(SSID)ssj0000085845(PQKBManifestationID)12015808(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000085845(PQKBWorkID)10025677(PQKB)11730594(MiAaPQ)EBC459629(Au-PeEL)EBL459629(CaPaEBR)ebr10257225(CaONFJC)MIL187865(The World Bank)180881142(The World Bank)ocn180881142(US-djbf)15312049(EXLCZ)99100000000070539620080602d2009 uf 0engurcn|||||||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierChina's and India's challenge to Latin America : opportunity or threat? /edited by Daniel Lederman, Marcelo Olarreaga, and Guillermo E. PerryWashington, D.C. :The World Bank,c2009.xxviii, 331 pages illustrations ;23 cmLatin American development forum seriesDescription based upon print version of record.0-8213-7308-0 Includes bibliographical references and index.Contents; Foreword; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; PART I: Introduction; Box 1.1 Public Opinion in LAC about China's Growth; Figure 1.1 LAC, China, and India: Output Comovement (10-Year-Rolling Correlations), 1981-2003; Figure 1.2 Explaining the Rising Output Correlation between LAC and China, 1995-2004 versus 1985-94; Figure 1.3 LAC's Comparative Advantage in Natural-Resource-Intensive Products, 1990; Figure 1.4 China and India: Impact on Commodity Prices, December 2001-December 2005; Figure 1.5 Share of China in World Markets: Selected Commodities, 1990 and 2004Figure 1.6 China's and India's Contribution to Growth in World Demand: Selected Commodities, 1990-2004Figure 1.7 Share of LAC Exports to China and India, 1990 and 2004; Table 1.1 Impact of China's (and LAC's) GDP Growth on LAC's Non-Fuel Exports to China; Table 1.2 OECD, U.S., and U.S. Manufacturing Stocks of FDI in LAC Relative to Stock of FDI in China and India, Controlling for Host-Country Economic Size, 2003; Table 1.3 Counterfactual Decomposition of Latin American Export Growth; Figure 1.8 Imports of Services by the United States, by Subregion, 1994-2004Figure 1.9 Relative Export Prices of Apparel, 1989-2004Figure 1.10 Is LAC Competing in the Same Products as China and India? (1990-2004); Figure 1.11 Share of China and India in Latin American Imports, 1990 versus 2004; PART II: The Growth of China and India Is Not a Zero-Sum Game for Latin America and the Caribbean: Short- and Long-Term Effects; Figure 2.1 Output Comovement: 10-Year Window Rolling Correlations; Figure 2.2 China and India: Impact on Commodity Prices, December 2001-December 2005; Figure 2.3 Trade Integration of LAC with China and India, 1985-2004; Table 2.1 Basic StatisticsFigure 2.4 Intra-Industry Trade in Latin America with China and India, 1985-2004Figure 2.5 Asymmetries in Production Structures in Latin America Relative to China and India, 1985-2004; Figure 2.6 Asymmetries in the Structure of Exports in Latin America Relative to China and India, 1985-2004; Figure 2.7 Asymmetries in the Structure of Imports in Latin America Relative to China and India, 1985-2004; Figure 2.8 Export Similarity Index between Latin America, India, and China with Respect to the U.S. Market, 1985-2004; Table 2.2 Correlation Analysis; Table 2.3 Baseline Regression: Least SquaresTable 2.4 First Stage Regressions: Gravity Model of Bilateral TradeTable 2.5 Baseline Regression: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation; Table 2.6 Augmented Regression: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation; Table 2.7 Effects on Business Cycle Synchronization of Higher Integration with China and India; Table 2.8 Explaining Changes in Output Correlation for Latin America and the Caribbean with Respect to China; Table 2.9 Explaining Changes in Output Correlation for Latin America and the Caribbean with Respect to IndiaFigure 2.9 Contribution of Trade Integration, Output Specialization, and Demand Spillovers to Predicted Changes in Output Correlation, 1995-2004 Compared with 1985-94The economic successes of China and India are viewed with admiration but also with concern because of the effects that the growth of these Asian economies may have on the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) region. The evidence in China's and India's Challenge to Latin America indicates that certain manufacturing and service industries in some countries have been negatively affected by Chinese and Indian competition in third markets and that LAC imports from China and India have been associated with modest unemployment and adjustment costs in manufacturing industries. The book also provides subLatin American development forum.World Bank e-Library.Latin AmericaForeign economic relationsChinaChinaForeign economic relationsLatin AmericaLatin AmericaForeign economic relationsIndiaIndiaForeign economic relationsLatin America337.8051Lederman Daniel1968-595151Olarreaga M(Marcelo)456075Perry Guillermo464641DLCDLCYDXCPBTCTABAKERUKMOCLCGC#PBWXCDXDLCBOOK9910812781803321China's and India's challenge to Latin America3954120UNINA