05063nam 2200625Ia 450 991081269370332120200520144314.01-280-50522-297866105052271-4237-9738-81-60750-160-0600-00-0470-21-60129-139-6(CKB)1000000000340191(EBL)265978(OCoLC)290475339(SSID)ssj0000083643(PQKBManifestationID)11126216(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000083643(PQKBWorkID)10147520(PQKB)11201299(MiAaPQ)EBC265978(Au-PeEL)EBL265978(CaPaEBR)ebr10130651(CaONFJC)MIL50522(EXLCZ)99100000000034019120060404d2006 uy 0engurcn|||||||||txtccrKondratieff waves, warfare and world security /edited by Tessaleno C. Devezas1st ed.Amsterdam IOS Press2006 ;Lancaster Gazelle Books, distributor20061 online resource (352 p.)Description based upon print version of record.1-58603-588-6 Includes bibliographical references and index.Long Waves and Warfare: An Enduring Controversy -- Contents-- Part 1. Kondratieff Waves Revisited: New Concepts on the Interpretation of Long-Term Fluctuations in Economic Growth-- The Kondratieff's Waves and Cyclic Dynamics of the Economy and Wars: Theory and Prospects-- Toward New Conceptual Models of the Kondratiev Phenomenon-- Recurrent Instabilities in K-Wave Macrohistory-- A Marxian Model of the U.S. Long Waves with Endogenous Growth of Labor Force-- Economic Cycles Under Test: A Spectral Analysis -- Are There Long-Term Cycles in the Evolution of the Oil Price? A Research Using the Hodrick-Prescott Filter Did the Fifth K-Wave Begin in 1990-92? Has It Been Aborted by Globalization?-- The Cyclic Dynamics of the Venture Capital-- If This Long Wave Steeps-Up and Breaks: What Then?-- Empirical Evidence and Causation of Kondratieff Cycles-- Principles of Self-Organization and Sustainable Development of the World Economy: From Local Conflicts to Global Security-- Waves of Socio-Economic Development: An Evolutionary Perspective-- Who Was Right? Kuznets in 1930 or Schumpeter in 1939? -- On Kondratieff's "Suzdal Letters" and Transformation of K-Cycles Approach (1932-1938)--Part 2. Kondratieff Waves and Warfare-- The Predictive Power of Long Wave Theory, 1989-2004-- Did World War II Reset the 'Rhythm' of the Kondratieff Wave?-- Long Waves in Global Warfare and Maritime Hegemony? A Complex Systems Perspective-- Wars on the Borders of Europe and Socio-Economic Long Cycles-- Is History Automatic and Are Wars a la Carte? The Perplexing Suggestions of a System Analysis of Historical Time Series-- Long Cycles, Global Wars and World Energy Consumption-- Emergent Violence, Global Wars, and Terrorism -- Human Behaviors Encountered During the Different Phases of the Kondratieff Cycle -- The Extent of the Kondratieff Wave's Effect on Violence in the North-South Context-- Globalization and Risks of Instability-- Cycles of Political Violence: Urban Guerrilla and Insurgent Groups-- Reverse Engineering Asymmetric Warfare: Applying Space-Time, Matter-Energy and Organizational-Doctrinal Analysis to Al Qaeda Operations-- The Asymmetrical 21st Century Security Reality-- The Emergence of Modern Terrorism-- Part 3. Looking into the Future -- The Russian Potential of Asymmetrical Wars of the 21st Century: Social-Economic Aspect The Information and Molecular Ages: Will K-Waves Persist?-- Warfare and International Security: Future Perspective-- Economic Cycles in a Closed Finite World-- Innovation Economy: Challenges and Threats to Russia-- Global Political Evolution, Long Cycles, and K-Waves-- The Social Progress and Security Problems-- Alternative Futures for K-Waves-- Risk Management in Uncertain Times-- Cyclicity of Strategic Challenges in Russian History and Development Scenario for the 21st Century-- Author IndexConsiderable progress has been made in understanding the underlying mechanisms driving the long-wave behaviour of the world socioeconomic development. A controversial mechanism discussed is the close relationship between K-waves and the outbreak of majors wars.Long waves (Economics)CongressesMilitary art and scienceCongressesLong waves (Economics)Military art and science338.54Devezas Tessaleno C785679NATO Advanced Research Workshop on The Influence of Chance Events and Socioeconomic Long Waves in the New Arena of Asymmetric WarfareMiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910812693703321Kondratieff waves, warfare and world security4048058UNINA