05294nam 22006613u 450 991079049200332120230801223624.00-203-11546-51-136-29523-21-84169-741-91-283-45834-99786613458346(CKB)2670000000211041(EBL)958354(OCoLC)798530645(MiAaPQ)EBC958354(EXLCZ)99267000000021104120130418d2012|||| u|| |engur|n|---|||||Thinking and Reasoning[electronic resource] An Introduction to the Psychology of Reason, Judgment and Decision MakingHoboken Taylor and Francis20121 online resource (329 p.)Description based upon print version of record.1-136-29524-0 1-84169-740-0 Cover; Thinking and Reasoning; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Chapter 1 : Judging and thinking about probability; Defining probability; Logical possibility; Frequency; Propensity; Degree of belief; Belief revision: Bayes' rule; Judging plain probalities; Logical possibilities; Frequencies; Taking samples: where our information comes from; Belief updating; Base rates: neglect or respect?; Belief revision by natural frequencies; Probability from the inside and the outside; The planning fallacy; Overconfi dence; The conjunction fallacy; SummaryChapter 2 : The study of reasoning: classic researchThe classical syllogism: reasoning with quantities; Validity; Reasoning with syllogisms; Patterns in human performance; Explaining the patterns of performance; Mental logic; Mental models; Probability heuristics; Summary; Chapter 3 : Reasoning with propositions; If: conditionals; Knowing p , knowing q : inferences and truth tables; Research results; The Wason selection task; Reasoning with Or: disjunctives; Research results; Wason's THOG problem; Summary; Chapter 4 : Reasoning and meaning; Facilitation: the study of content effectsDeontic reasoning: thinking about rulesPragmatic reasoning schemas; Evolutionary approaches to deontic reasoning; Decision-theoretic approaches; Causal reasoning: thinking about how the world works; Causal reasoning about general events; The covariational approach to causal thinking; Prior knowledge and causal models; Causal models theory; Single cases and counterfactual thinking; Summary; Chapter 5 : Explaining reasoning: the classic approaches; Mental logic; Braine and O'Brien's theory of If; Rips' Psycop theory; The theory of mental models; Mental models and conditionalsThe selection taskContent and context; Illusory inferences; Causal and counterfactual reasoning; Summary; Chapter 6 : Explaining reasoning: the 'new paradigm'; Oaksford and Chater's Bayesian theory; Rational analysis; Matching bias; The deontic selection task; Conditional inference; Evans and Over's suppositional theory; The dual process theory; Dual processes in the selection task; Belief bias in syllogistic reasoning; Heuristic and analytic processes; Dual processes and dual systems; Dual minds; Summary; Chapter 7 : Hypothetical thinking: induction and testing; InductionInduction and deductionCategory-based induction; Extensions and explanations; Category-based induction without categories; Abduction: fi nding explanations and causes; Induction and deduction revisited; Hypothesis testing; Wason's 2 4 6 task and its descendants; Confi rmation bias; Better hypothesis testing; Hypothesis testing in the wild; Hypothetical thinking theory; Summary; Chapter 8 : Decision making: preference and prospects; Subjective expected utility; Principles and problems; Complex decisions; Preference; Different utilities; Competing options; Framing: the effects of descriptionProspect theory: a descriptive theory of decision makingThe area of psychological research reviewed in this book is one that is not only increasing in popularity in college curricula, but is also making an ever larger impact on the world outside the classroom. Drawing upon research originally cited in Ken Manktelow's highly successful publication Reasoning and Thinking, this completely rewritten textbook reflects on the revolutionary changes that have occurred in the field in recent years, stemming from the huge expansion in research output, as well as new methods and explanations, and the appearance of numerous books on the subject aimCognitionCognitionDecision makingDecision makingReasoning (Psychology)Thought and thinkingThought and thinkingCognition.Cognition.Decision making.Decision making.Reasoning (Psychology).Thought and thinking.Thought and thinking.153.4/2153.42153.43Manktelow Ken1496132AU-PeELAU-PeELAU-PeELBOOK9910790492003321Thinking and Reasoning3720638UNINA02408nam0 22005413i 450 SBL036299320251003044353.0IT7211209 19910930d1972 ||||0itac50 baitaengit|||| |||y|z01i xxxe z01nz01ncRDAcarrierEconomia politica e capitalismoMaurice DobbTorinoBoringhieri1972343 p.20 cmUniversale scientifica79Traduzione di Ruggero Amaduzzi.001CFI00061392001 Universale scientifica79Political economy and capitalism.UM10140467CFIV03429621518ECONOMIASAGGIFIRMILC005425E330.1SCIENZE ECONOMICHE. SISTEMI E TEORIE12330.1ECONOMIA. Sistemi e teorie20330.1ECONOMIA. SISTEMI, SCUOLE, TEORIE21330.122SISTEMI ECONOMICI. ECONOMIA DELLA LIBERA IMPRESA21335.412CONCETTI ECONOMICI MARXIANI19335.412SISTEMI MARXISTI. CONCETTI ECONOMICI22Economia realeAttività economicheAspetti economiciEconomiaEconomia realeEconomiaAttività economicheEconomiaAspetti economiciDobb, MauriceCFIV034296070239215Amaduzzi, RuggeroVIAV000583730Dobb, Maurice H.MILV156130Dobb, MauriceDobb, Maurice HerbertMILV156131Dobb, MauriceITIT-00000019910930IT-BN0095 IT-SA0252 IT-AV0007 IT-BN0015 IT-NA0097 NAP 83IAN $NAP SPNF. NUOVO FONDONAP 01POZZO LIB.Vi sono collocati fondi di economia, periodici di ingegneria e scienze, periodici di economia e statistica e altri fondi comprendenti documenti di economia pervenuti in dono. NAP AVMANCINO $SBL0362993Biblioteca Centralizzata di Ateneo1 v. 01POZZO LIB.ECON MON 5188 0101 0000277665E VMA 1 v.B 2021040720210407 01 83 AV PB SPPolitical economy and capitalism21518UNISANNIO