03994oam 22010214 450 991078822800332120230721045726.01-4623-3155-61-4518-7334-497866128439761-4527-3392-91-282-84397-4(CKB)3170000000055336(SSID)ssj0001477286(PQKBManifestationID)11853358(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001477286(PQKBWorkID)11449746(PQKB)11392108(OCoLC)539139614(MiAaPQ)EBC1608807(IMF)WPIEE2009187(EXLCZ)99317000000005533620020129d2009 uf 0engurcn|||||||||txtccrHow Good Are Ex Ante Program Evaluation Techniques? The Case of School Enrollment in PROGRESA /Fabian BornhorstWashington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,2009.35 p. illIMF Working Papers"September 2009."1-4519-1759-7 This paper evaluates a microsimulation technique by comparing the simulated outcome of a program with its actual effect. The ex ante evaluation is carried out for a conditional cash transfer program, where poor households were given money if the children attended school. A model of occupational choice is used to simulate the expected impact of the program. The results suggest that the transfer would indeed increase school attendance and do more so among girls than boys. While the simulated effect tends to be larger than the actual effect, the latter lies within bootstrapped confidence intervals of the simulation.IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;No. 2009/187School attendanceMexicoEvaluationEconometric modelsEconomic assistance, DomesticMexicoEvaluationEconometric modelsPoorMexicoEvaluationEconometric modelsLaborimfMacroeconomicsimfDemographyimfEducation: GeneralimfWages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: GeneralimfLabor Economics: GeneralimfAggregate Factor Income DistributionimfEconomics of the ElderlyimfEconomics of the HandicappedimfNon-labor Market DiscriminationimfEducationimfLabourimfincome economicsimfPopulation & demographyimfWagesimfIncomeimfAgingimfLabor economicsimfPopulation agingimfMexicoimfSchool attendanceEvaluationEconometric models.Economic assistance, DomesticEvaluationEconometric models.PoorEvaluationEconometric models.LaborMacroeconomicsDemographyEducation: GeneralWages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: GeneralLabor Economics: GeneralAggregate Factor Income DistributionEconomics of the ElderlyEconomics of the HandicappedNon-labor Market DiscriminationEducationLabourincome economicsPopulation & demographyWagesIncomeAgingLabor economicsPopulation agingBornhorst Fabian1485173International Monetary Fund.Fiscal Affairs Dept.DcWaIMFBOOK9910788228003321How Good Are Ex Ante Program Evaluation Techniques? The Case of School Enrollment in PROGRESA3741584UNINA