04038nam 22007572 450 991078521870332120151005020622.01-107-21527-70-511-85134-01-282-90802-297866129080260-511-76272-00-511-91784-80-511-91686-80-511-91882-80-511-91505-50-511-91326-5(CKB)2670000000054443(EBL)585390(OCoLC)689996474(SSID)ssj0000415760(PQKBManifestationID)11259386(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000415760(PQKBWorkID)10418251(PQKB)10142392(UkCbUP)CR9780511762727(MiAaPQ)EBC585390(Au-PeEL)EBL585390(CaPaEBR)ebr10431405(CaONFJC)MIL290802(EXLCZ)99267000000005444320141103d2010|||| uy| 0engur|||||||||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierDeterminants of democratization explaining regime change in the world, 1972-2006 /by Jan Teorell[electronic resource]Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,2010.1 online resource (xi, 208 pages) digital, PDF file(s)Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).0-521-13968-6 0-521-19906-9 Includes bibliographical references and index.Cover; Half-title; Title; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; List of tables; List of figures; Acknowledgments; Introduction; 1 Explaining democratization; 2 The shadow of the past: social determinants; 3 The power of prosperity: economic determinants; 4 The impetus from abroad: international determinants; 5 The force from below: popular mobilization; 6 Exogenous shocks and authoritarian regime types: institutional contingency; 7 Conclusions; Appendix A Data and variable definitions; Appendix B Statistical model; Appendix C Robustness tests; Appendix D The pathway criterion; References; IndexWhat are the determinants of democratization? Do the factors that move countries toward democracy also help them refrain from backsliding toward autocracy? This book attempts to answer these questions through a combination of a statistical analysis of social, economic, and international determinants of regime change in 165 countries around the world in 1972-2006, and case study work on nine episodes of democratization occurring in Argentina, Bolivia, Hungary, Nepal, Peru, the Philippines, South Africa, Turkey, and Uruguay. The findings suggest that democracy is promoted by long-term structural forces such as economic prosperity, but also by peaceful popular uprisings and the institutional setup of authoritarian regimes. In the short-run, however, elite actors may play a key role, particularly through the importance of intra-regime splits. Jan Teorell argues that these results have important repercussions both for current theories of democratization and for the international community's effort in developing policies for democracy promotion.Regime changeHistory20th centuryRegime changeHistory21st centuryDemocratizationHistory20th centuryDemocratizationHistory21st centuryRegime changeCase studiesDemocratizationCase studiesRegime changeHistoryRegime changeHistoryDemocratizationHistoryDemocratizationHistoryRegime changeDemocratization321.809045Teorell Jan1542605UkCbUPUkCbUPBOOK9910785218703321Determinants of democratization3795481UNINA