02817nam 22006612 450 991078444060332120151005020622.01-107-14793-X1-280-51584-80-511-81616-20-511-21426-X0-511-21605-X0-511-21068-X0-511-31500-70-511-21245-3(CKB)1000000000353289(EBL)266580(OCoLC)171138908(SSID)ssj0000253196(PQKBManifestationID)11194080(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000253196(PQKBWorkID)10186222(PQKB)10032643(UkCbUP)CR9780511816161(MiAaPQ)EBC266580(Au-PeEL)EBL266580(CaPaEBR)ebr10131592(CaONFJC)MIL51584(OCoLC)560232536(PPN)261288792(EXLCZ)99100000000035328920101021d2004|||| uy| 0engur|||||||||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierSubjective probability the real thing /Richard Jeffrey[electronic resource]Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,2004.1 online resource (xvi, 124 pages) digital, PDF file(s)Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).0-521-53668-5 0-521-82971-2 Includes bibliographical references (p. 115-120) and index.Cover; Half-title; Title; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; Preface; 1 Probability Primer; 2 Testing Scientific Theories; 3 Probability Dynamics; Collaboration; 4 Expectation Primer; 5 Updating on Statistics; 6 Choosing; References; IndexThis book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.ProbabilitiesJudgmentProbabilities.Judgment.121/.63Jeffrey Richard C.45068UkCbUPUkCbUPBOOK9910784440603321Subjective probability747645UNINA