04363nam 22005774a 450 991078000590332120230607213814.00-309-13304-11-280-18472-897866101847290-309-51284-0(CKB)111069351122136(OCoLC)559496531(CaPaEBR)ebrary10032405(SSID)ssj0000283953(PQKBManifestationID)12052338(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000283953(PQKBWorkID)10250771(PQKB)10833339(MiAaPQ)EBC3375210(Au-PeEL)EBL3375210(CaPaEBR)ebr10032405(CaONFJC)MIL18472(OCoLC)923254712(EXLCZ)9911106935112213620020227d2002 uy 0engurcn|||||||||txtccrAbrupt climate change[electronic resource] inevitable surprises /Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies Board, Polar Research Board, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research CouncilWashington, D.C. National Academy Press20021 online resource (252 p.) Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph0-309-07434-7 Includes bibliographical references and index.Machine generated contents note: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 2 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 4 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 5 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 7 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 8 -- 1 INTRODUCTION TO ABRUPT CHANGES IN THE -- EARTH'S CLIMATE 10 -- Definition of Abrupt Climate Change, 14 -- Scientific Evidence, Processes, and Consequences for -- Society and Ecosystems, 15 -- The Charge to the Committee, 17 -- 2 EVIDENCE OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 19 -- Interpretation of Past Climatic Conditions from Proxy Records, 19 -- The Younger Dryas as an Example of Abrupt Climate Change, 24 -- Abrupt Climate Changes Before the Younger Dryas Event, 36 -- Eemian Rapid Climate Change, 38 -- Holocene Rapid Climate Change, 40 -- Rapid Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period, 45 -- Patterns of Climate Variability, 48 -- Trends Recor4ed Instrumentally, 56 -- Synopsis of Observations, 69 -- 3 PROCESSES THAT CAUSE ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 73 -- An Overview of Mechanisms, 74 -- Atmosphere, 80 -- Abrupt Climate Change and Thermohaline Circulation, 89 -- 4 GLOBAL WARMING AS A POSSIBLE TRIGGER FOR 107 -- ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE -- Changes in North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, 108 -- Limited Predictability Close to an Instability, 111 -- Changes in Natural Modes of the Atmosphere-Ocean System, 112 -- Possible Future Abrupt Changes in the Hydrological Cycle, 113 -- Ice Sheet Changes, 114 -- Outlook, 115 -- 5 ECONOMIC AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF ABRUPT 118 -- CLIMATE CHANGE -- Recent Scientific Studies in the Ecological and Social Sciences, 120 -- Sectoral Approaches, 141 -- Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change, 149 -- 6 FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 153 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 154 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 159 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 161 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 163 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 164 -- Final Thoughts, 167 -- REFERENCES 168 -- APPENDIXES 203 -- A Committee and Staff Biographies, 203 -- B Board Rosters, 208 -- C Workshop Agenda, 212 -- D Workshop Participants, 214 -- E Impacts Workshop Program, 216 -- F Impacts Workshop Participants, 218 -- G Acronym List, 220 -- INDEX 223.Climatic changesClimatic changesEnvironmental aspectsClimatic changes.Climatic changesEnvironmental aspects.551.6National Research Council (U.S.).Committee on Abrupt Climate Change.MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910780005903321Abrupt climate change2707631UNINA