03578nam 22006615 450 991073484010332120240619140247.03-031-31190-610.1007/978-3-031-31190-1(CKB)27240776000041(MiAaPQ)EBC30609743(Au-PeEL)EBL30609743(DE-He213)978-3-031-31190-1(PPN)272264490(EXLCZ)992724077600004120230626d2023 u| 0engurcnu||||||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierThe Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process Project Management in Prevention and Support /by Marcus Hellwig1st ed. 2023.Cham :Springer Nature Switzerland :Imprint: Springer Vieweg,2023.1 online resource (78 pages)Springer essentials,2731-31159783031311895 Occasion, derived from a letter to the editor -- Objectives -- SIR model as a basis for a probabilistic model -- Introduction: Consideration of an infection interval for a federal state -- The “infection curve” I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb density function -- Random ranges of NV and Eqb -- Presentation of the equibalance distribution, Eqb -- Infection management in connection with the course of the incidence -- Infection, avoidance and healing process, feedback -- Representation of a process management -- Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology -- Summary.With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave". Content The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb - density function Representation of a process management Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology Target Groups Virology, Departments of Health and Human Services Statistics Departments The Author Marcus Hellwig is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.Springer essentials,2731-3115StatisticsPublic healthProbabilitiesApplied StatisticsPublic HealthApplied ProbabilityCOVID-19thubEpidemiologiathubEstadística matemàticathubLlibres electrònicsthubStatistics.Public health.Probabilities.Applied Statistics.Public Health.Applied Probability.COVID-19EpidemiologiaEstadística matemàtica614.5924144Hellwig Marcus897315MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910734840103321The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process3404890UNINA