03696nam 2200709Ia 450 991065121090332120230725015506.097866133207041-283-32070-30-470-62001-31-118-36633-61-282-68804-997866126880410-470-61999-6(CKB)2560000000012008(EBL)543013(OCoLC)654830928(SSID)ssj0000423333(PQKBManifestationID)11306880(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000423333(PQKBWorkID)10440227(PQKB)10510301(MiAaPQ)EBC543013(MiAaPQ)EBC3058211(Au-PeEL)EBL543013(CaPaEBR)ebr10395561(CaONFJC)MIL268804(EXLCZ)99256000000001200820100528d2010 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrModeling risk[electronic resource] applying Monte Carlo simulation, real options analysis, forecasting, and optimization techniques /Johnathan Mun2nd ed.New York Wiley20101 online resource (976 p.)Wiley finance ;580Includes index.0-470-59221-4 Moving beyond uncertainty -- From risk to riches -- A guide to model-building etiquette -- On the shores of Monaco -- Test driving risk simulator -- Pandora's toolbox -- Extended business cases I : pharmaceutical and biotech negotiations, oil and gas exploration, financial planning with simulation, hospital risk management, risk-based executive compensation valuation, and risk-based schedule planning -- Tomorrow's forecast today -- Using the past to predict the future -- The search for the optimal decision -- Optimization under uncertainty -- What is so real about real options, and why are they optional? -- The black box made transparent : real options super lattice solver software -- Extended business cases II : real estate, banking, military strategy, automotive aftermarkets, global earth observation systems, employee stock options, oil and gas royalty lease negotiations, real options and IT enterprise risk security, Basel II credit and market risk analysis, and IT information security intrusion risk management -- The warning signs -- Changing a corporate culture.An updated guide to risk analysis and modeling Although risk was once seen as something that was both unpredictable and uncontrollable, the evolution of risk analysis tools and theories has changed the way we look at this important business element. In the Second Edition of Analyzing and Modeling Risk, expert Dr. Johnathan Mun provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied within the realms of business risk analysis and offers an intuitive feel of what risk looks like, as well as the different ways of quantifying it. This Second Edition provides professionals in all industriWiley finance series ;580.Risk assessmentRisk assessmentMathematical modelsRisk managementFinanceDecision makingRisk assessment.Risk assessmentMathematical models.Risk management.FinanceDecision making.658.15/531.80bclMun Johnathan522724MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910651210903321Modeling risk2042099UNINA