03095 am 2200733 n 450 9910597171703321202004292-7132-3132-910.4000/books.editionsehess.26723(CKB)4100000012897035(FrMaCLE)OB-editionsehess-26723(oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/95035(PPN)265624592(EXLCZ)99410000001289703520221011j|||||||| ||| 0freuu||||||m||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierDe la royauté à l’État dans le monde indien /Jacques Pouchepadass, Henri SternParis Éditions de l’École des hautes études en sciences sociales20201 online resource (311 p.)Purushartha2-7132-0960-9 Histoire du présent. Ethnologie du passé. Des royautés guerrières à l’État moderne, en passant par la période coloniale, le cas indien oblige à remettre en question les typologies actuellement proposées des formes d’organisation du politique. Il n’y a pas ici, où la modernité s’affirme dans la référence tou­jours vivante à une Antiquité, plus de centralité royale que de hiérarchie ecclésiale. Les monographies locales ou régionales livrent une diversité de formules qui témoigne de la plasticité morphologique du jeu des principes de la caste et de la parenté, jusqu’à l’Union indienne, toujours marquée par le fractionnement de l’autorité et la superposition de différents droits sur le sol. Si c’est bien une différenciation des points de vue que toute hiérarchisation sociale engendre, c’est dans des processus d’interdépendance, et non dans une fonction d’unification, que le politique fonde sa légitimité.Political ScienceSociologyvillepolitiquehistoirephilosophieroyautéÉtat mogolvillepolitiquehistoirephilosophieroyautéÉtat mogolPolitical ScienceSociologyvillepolitiquehistoirephilosophieroyautéÉtat mogolCadène Philippe306695Markovits Claude509036Meyer Éric647153Murr Sylvia1279590Pouchepadass Jacques1282350Reiniche Marie-Louise651290Stein Burton636600Stern Henri151934Tarabout Gilles1224895Pouchepadass Jacques1282350Stern Henri151934FR-FrMaCLEBOOK9910597171703321De la royauté à l’État dans le monde indien3052907UNINA04730oam 22010094 450 991096112140332120250426110702.0978661284085297814623901061462390102978145199637114519963739781282840850128284085197814518699271451869924(CKB)3170000000055033(SSID)ssj0000944009(PQKBManifestationID)11544308(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000944009(PQKBWorkID)10982172(PQKB)10539268(OCoLC)252906501(MiAaPQ)EBC1605815(IMF)WPIEE2008133(IMF)WPIEA2008133WPIEA2008133(EXLCZ)99317000000005503320020129d2008 uf 0engurcnu||||||||txtccrCrude Oil Prices : Trends and Forecast /Noureddine Krichene1st ed.Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,2008.1 online resource (25 pages) illustrationsIMF Working PapersIMF working paper ;WP/08/133Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph9781451914450 1451914458 Includes bibliographical references.Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Recent Evolution of Oil Prices -- III. Modeling Oil Prices as Levy Process -- IV. Oil Price Process as Normal Inverse Gaussian Process -- V. Estimation of Oil Price Process as a Normal Inverse Gaussian Process -- VI. Market Incompleteness and Esscher Transform -- VII. Density Forecast of Crude Oil Prices: The Inverse Problem -- VIII. Conclusions -- Tables -- 1. Descriptive Statistics for Oil Price Returns -- 2. Oil Price as Normal Inverse Distribution, Parameterization -- 3. Oil Price as Normal Inverse Distribution, Parameterization -- Figures -- 1. Oil Daily Futures Prices, January 2000-October 2007 -- 2a. Empirical Distribution of Oil Price Returns 2000M1-2003M4 -- 2b. Empirical Distribution of Oil Price Returns, 2003M5-2007M10 -- 3. Oil Price Returns GARCH(1.1) Volatility, January 2000-October 2007 -- References.Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed trends, as market fundamentals and underlying monetary policies were supportive of these trends. Market expectations derived from option prices anticipated further surge in oil prices and allowed significant probability for right tail events. Given explosive trends in other commodities prices, depreciating currencies, and weakening financial conditions, recent trends in oil prices might not persist further without triggering world economic recession, regressive oil supply, as oil producers became wary about inflation. Restoring stable oil markets, through restraining monetary policy, is essential for durable growth and price stability.IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;No. 2008/133Petroleum productsPricesForecastingAsset pricesimfCommodity MarketsimfCommodity pricesimfDeflationimfEnergy: Demand and SupplyimfEnergy: GeneralimfInflationimfInvestment & securitiesimfInvestments: EnergyimfMacroeconomicsimfOil pricesimfOilimfPetroleum industry and tradeimfPrice LevelimfPricesimfUnited StatesimfPetroleum productsPricesForecasting.Asset pricesCommodity MarketsCommodity pricesDeflationEnergy: Demand and SupplyEnergy: GeneralInflationInvestment & securitiesInvestments: EnergyMacroeconomicsOil pricesOilPetroleum industry and tradePrice LevelPrices338.232820112Krichene Noureddine861994DcWaIMFBOOK9910961121403321Crude Oil Prices4372337UNINA