04930nam 2200709 450 991046486930332120200520144314.01-4008-5041-X10.1515/9781400850419(CKB)3710000000116837(EBL)1637701(OCoLC)880893570(SSID)ssj0001222134(PQKBManifestationID)11682204(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001222134(PQKBWorkID)11194720(PQKB)11268262(MiAaPQ)EBC1637701(StDuBDS)EDZ0001059568(DE-B1597)453990(OCoLC)984614483(DE-B1597)9781400850419(Au-PeEL)EBL1637701(CaPaEBR)ebr10876767(CaONFJC)MIL615375(EXLCZ)99371000000011683720140615h20142014 uy 0engurcnu||||||||txtccrKnowing the adversary leaders, intelligence, and assessment of intentions in international relations /Keren Yarhi-MiloCourse BookPrinceton, New Jersey ;Oxfordshire, England :Princeton University Press,2014.©20141 online resource (369 p.)Princeton Studies in International History and PoliticsIncludes index.0-691-15915-7 Includes bibliographical references and index.Front matter --Contents --Acknowledgments --Introduction --Chapter 1. Theories of Intentions and the Problem of Attention --Chapter 2. Indicators of Nazi Germany's Intentions and the Coming of World War II, 1934-39 --Chapter 3. British Decision Makers' Perceptions of Nazi Germany's Intentions --Chapter 4. The British Intelligence Community's Assessments of Nazi Germany's Intentions --Chapter 5. The Carter Era and the Collapse of Détente, 1977-80 --Chapter 6. US Decision Makers' Perceptions of Soviet Intentions: The Collapse of Détente --Chapter 7. The US Intelligence Community's Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The Collapse of Détente --Chapter 8. Indicators of Soviet Intentions and the End of the Cold War, 1985-88 --Chapter 9. US Decision Makers' Perceptions of Soviet Intentions: The End of the Cold War --Chapter 10. The US Intelligence Community's Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The End of the Cold War --Chapter 11. Summary and Implications --Appendix: Summary of Hypotheses --Notes --IndexStates are more likely to engage in risky and destabilizing actions such as military buildups and preemptive strikes if they believe their adversaries pose a tangible threat. Yet despite the crucial importance of this issue, we don't know enough about how states and their leaders draw inferences about their adversaries' long-term intentions. Knowing the Adversary draws on a wealth of historical archival evidence to shed new light on how world leaders and intelligence organizations actually make these assessments. Keren Yarhi-Milo examines three cases: Britain's assessments of Nazi Germany's intentions in the 1930's, America's assessments of the Soviet Union's intentions during the Carter administration, and the Reagan administration's assessments of Soviet intentions near the end of the Cold War. She advances a new theoretical framework-called selective attention-that emphasizes organizational dynamics, personal diplomatic interactions, and cognitive and affective factors. Yarhi-Milo finds that decision makers don't pay as much attention to those aspects of state behavior that major theories of international politics claim they do. Instead, they tend to determine the intentions of adversaries on the basis of preexisting beliefs, theories, and personal impressions. Yarhi-Milo also shows how intelligence organizations rely on very different indicators than decision makers, focusing more on changes in the military capabilities of adversaries. Knowing the Adversary provides a clearer picture of the historical validity of existing theories, and broadens our understanding of the important role that diplomacy plays in international security.Princeton studies in international history and politics.International relationsIntelligence serviceWorld politics20th centuryGreat BritainForeign relations1936-1945Great BritainForeign relationsGermanyElectronic books.International relations.Intelligence service.World politics327.12Yarhi-Milo Keren1978-741503MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910464869303321Knowing the adversary1472009UNINA01861oam 2200541 450 991071308830332120200313082832.0(CKB)5470000002499316(OCoLC)966434522(OCoLC)995470000002499316(EXLCZ)99547000000249931620161219d1983 ua 0engurbn|||||||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierReconnaissance study of stream sedimentation, southern Guam /by Patricia J. ShadeHonolulu, Hawaii :U.S. Geological Survey,1983.1 online resource (vi, 33 pages) illustrations, mapsWater-resources investigations report ;83-4212"December 1983.""Prepared in cooperation with the U.S. Department of the Army, Pacific Ocean Division, Corps of Engineers."Includes bibliographical references (pages 33).Sedimentation and depositionGuamRiver sedimentsGuamStream measurementsGuamSedimentation and depositionfastStream measurementsfastGuamfastSedimentation and depositionRiver sedimentsStream measurementsSedimentation and deposition.Stream measurements.Shade Patricia J.1387446Geological Survey (U.S.),United States.Army.Corps of Engineers.Pacific Ocean Division.COPCOPOCLCOOCLCFOCLCAGPOBOOK9910713088303321Reconnaissance study of stream sedimentation, southern Guam3509568UNINA