03882nam 2200637Ia 450 991046400290332120181114215148.01-4623-6182-X1-4527-4300-21-282-84368-01-4518-7302-69786612843686(CKB)3170000000055307(EBL)1608370(SSID)ssj0000943254(PQKBManifestationID)11484314(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000943254(PQKBWorkID)10974831(PQKB)11287967(OCoLC)642044575(MiAaPQ)EBC1608370(EXLCZ)99317000000005530720091006d2009 uf 0engtxtccrSpillovers from the rest of the world into Sub-Saharan African countries[electronic resource] /Prepared by Paulo Flavio Nacif Drummond and Gustavo Ramirez[Washington, DC] International monetary fund, African Department20091 online resource (22 p.)IMF working paper ;WP/09/155"July 2009."1-4519-1730-9 Includes bibliographical references.Contents; I. World Growth Spillovers; Figures; 1. Sub-Saharan Africa and the Rest of the World: Real GDP Growth; II. Previous Studies; III. Channels of Transmission; 2. Sub-Saharan Africa: Total Merchandise Exports by Destinations, 1985 to 2008; 3. Sub-Saharan Africa: Destination of Exports; IV. Quantitative Estimates of Spillovers; 4. Capital Inflows in Sub-Saharan Africa; 5. 3-month Libor to Treasury Bill Rate Spreads and the VIX Index; Tables; 1. GMM Regression Output for SSA Real GDP Growth6. Selection of the Optimal Size of Shock for the Absolute Value of Income Effect of Oil Price Changes 7. Percent of Non-Zeros in Variable Measuring Income Effect of Oil Price Changes Greater than 5 Percent; 8. Recursive Estimators of the GMM Model; V. Applications to Sub-Saharan African Countries; 9. Out-of-Sample Forecast: Changes in Growth as Forecasted by WEO and by the Spillover Model for 2008 to 09; 2. Sub-Saharan Africa: Out-of-Sample Real GDP Growth as Forecasted in the WEO and the GMM Model; 10. Spillovers Model and WEO Forecasts Vs. Actual 2008 Real Growth11. Forecasting Errors in WEO and Spillover Model for 2008 VI. Conclusions; Box; ReferencesThis paper investigates the impact of a global slowdown on individual African countries using a series of dynamic panel regressions for countries in the region, relating real growth in domestic output to world growth in trade weighted by partner countries and several control variables: oil prices, non-oil prices, financial variables, and country fixed effects. Estimates are then applied to prepare country-specific simulations. The model, which is shown to estimate well out-of-sample spillover effects in the region, shows that countries in the region are significantly affected by lower externalIMF working paper ;WP/09/155.StocksPricesAfrica, Sub-SaharanEconometric modelsCapital stockAfrica, Sub-SaharanEconometric modelsBank loansAfrica, Sub-SaharanEconometric modelsElectronic books.StocksPricesEconometric models.Capital stockEconometric models.Bank loansEconometric models.Drummond Paulo Flavio Nacif1966-861998Ramírez Gustavo861999International Monetary Fund.African Dept.MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910464002903321Spillovers from the rest of the world into Sub-Saharan African countries1924025UNINA01174nam0 22002891i 450 UON0046040920240207100546.2420151104d1889 |0itac50 barusRU|||| 1||||Ocerki iz' istorii russkoj literatury 17. i 18. stoletijL. N. MajkovS.-Peterburgizd. A. S. Suvorina1889434 p.22 cm.Letteratura russaStoria Sec. 17.UONC048664FILetteratura russaStoria Sec. 18.UONC038836FIRULeningradUONL003193891.702Letteratura russa 1700-179921891.701LETTERATURA RUSSA FINO AL 169921MAJKOVLeonid NikolaevičUONV228242719533SUVORIN, A. S.UONV207650650ITSOL20251107RICASIBA - SISTEMA BIBLIOTECARIO DI ATENEOUONSIUON00460409SIBA - SISTEMA BIBLIOTECARIO DI ATENEOSI RUSSO C 1818 SI SLA1886 7 1818 Ocerki iz' istorii russkoj literatury 171397192UNIOR