02900nam 2200589 450 991046377290332120200520144314.03-95489-632-X(CKB)2670000000534355(EBL)1640347(SSID)ssj0001215090(PQKBManifestationID)11708323(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001215090(PQKBWorkID)11174511(PQKB)11611227(MiAaPQ)EBC1640347(Au-PeEL)EBL1640347(CaPaEBR)ebr10856536(OCoLC)871779983(EXLCZ)99267000000053435520140416h20142014 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrDoes money matter in predicting future events? /Sebastian DiemerHamburg, Germany :Anchor Academic Publishing,2014.©20141 online resource (50 p.)CompactDescription based upon print version of record.3-95489-132-8 Includes bibliographical references.Does money matter in predicting future events?; Abstract; List of Content; 1. Introduction and Theoretical Fundamentals; 1.1 Introduction; 1.2 Definition of Prediction Markets; 1.3 Theoretical Framework; 2. Literature Overview; 2.1 Real-Money vs. Play-Money; 2.2 Other Factors With Influence on Forecasting Accuracy; 2.3 Closed Prediction Markets; 3. Data; 3.1 Data Provider; 3.2 Definition of Variables; 4. Results; 4.1 Overall Data; 4.2 Real-Money vs. Play-Money: Portfolio Comparison; 4.3 Real-Money vs. Play-Money: Direct Contract Comparison; 4.4 Real-Money/Play-Money: Influencing Factors4.5. ConclusionReferences; AppendixPrediction markets are online trading platforms where contracts on future events are traded with payoffs being exclusively linked to event occurrence. Scientific research has shown that market prices of such contracts imply high forecasting accuracy through effective information aggregation of dispersed knowledge. This phenomenon is related to incentives for truthful aggregation in the form of real-money or play-money rewards. The question whether real- or play-money incentives enhance higher relative forecast accuracy has been addressed by previous works with diverse findings. The current staCompact.Monetary policyMathematical modelsInvestmentsGermanyElectronic books.Monetary policyMathematical models.Investments332.46Diemer Sebastian922586MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910463772903321Does money matter in predicting future events2070181UNINA01120nam a22002651i 450099100081754970753620021030172633.0021030s1989 it |||||||||||||||||ita 8839506047b1205950x-39ule_instARCHE-014930ExLDip.to Filologia Ling. e Lett.itaA.t.i. Arché s.c.r.l. Pandora Sicilia s.r.l.Martina, Antonella120409Il Riassunto :regole, schede ed esercizi per imparare a riassumere e sintetizzare /Antonella Martina, Massimo SerraTorino :Paravia,c1989125 p. ;27 cmDossier di linguistica.Serie verdeEducazione linguisticaTesti per esercitazioniSerra, Massimoauthorhttp://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut736867.b1205950x28-04-1701-04-03991000817549707536LE008 L.L.I.D B VI 5112008000463809le008-E0.00-l- 00000.i1235509401-04-03Riassunto1457688UNISALENTOle00801-04-03ma -itait 31