04586nam 2200625Ia 450 991046369620332120170821160915.01-4623-2649-81-282-84470-91-4518-7428-61-4527-5711-99786612844706(CKB)3170000000055405(EBL)1606013(SSID)ssj0000948677(PQKBManifestationID)11602670(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000948677(PQKBWorkID)10950791(PQKB)10893713(OCoLC)671571361(MiAaPQ)EBC1606013(EXLCZ)99317000000005540520100902d2009 uf 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrTrade and thy neighbor's war[electronic resource] /Mahvash Saeed Qureshi[Washington, D.C.] International Monetary Fund20091 online resource (84 p.)IMF working paper ;WP/09/283Description based upon print version of record.1-4519-1844-5 Includes bibliographical references.Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Methodology; A. Analytical framework; B. Estimation issues; C. Defining neighbor at war; III. Data; A. Neighbor at war; Figure 1. Conflict in neighboring countries, 1948-2006; Figure 2. Societal armed conflict in neighboring states, 1950-2006; Figure 3. International armed conflict in neighboring states, 1950-2006; Figure 4. Conflict and bilateral trade, 1948-2006; B. Dyadic data description; Table 1. Correlation between domestic and regional conflicts, 1948-2006Table 2. Distribution of societal and international conflict in neighbors, 1948-2006IV. Empirical Results; A. World sample; Table 3. Estimation results for conflict presence, world sample (1948-2006); Table 4. Estimation results for conflict intensity, world sample (1948-2006); Table 5. Estimation results for border weighted conflict, world sample (1948-2006); B. Subsamples; Table 6. Estimation results for conflict presence, subsamples (1948-2006); Table 7. Estimation results for conflict intensity, subsamples (1948-2006)Table 8. Estimation results for border weighted conflict presence, subsamples (1948-2006)Table 9. Estimation results for border weighted conflict intensity, subsamples (1948-2006); Figure 5. Regional conflict and trade, 1950-2006; C. Dynamic effects of neighbors at war; Figure 6. Impact of regional conflicts on bilateral trade, 1948-2006; Table 10. Estimation results for regional conflict duration, 1948-2006; Table 11. Persistence in regional warfare effects, world sample (1948-2006); Table 12. Persistence in regional warfare effects, subsamples (1948-2006); D. Sensitivity analysisV. ConclusionAppendix A; Table A1. Variable definitions and data sources; Table A2. Summary statistics of selected variables for dyadic data; Table A3. List of countries based on income groups; Appendix B; Table B1. Estimation results with alternate datasets; Table B2. Estimation results with alternate proxies, 1948-2006; Table B3. Estimation results with alternate specifications, 1948-2006; Table B4. Estimation results with IV approach, 1948-2006; Table B5. Estimation results for different regions, 1948-2006; References; FootnotesThis paper examines the spatial dispersion effects of regional conflicts, defined as internal or external armed conflicts in contiguous states, on international trade. Our empirical findings-based on different measures of conflict constructed using alternate definitions of contiguity and conflict-reveal a significant collateral damage in terms of foregone trade as a result of spillovers from conflict in neighboring countries. The magnitude of this negative externality is somewhat larger for international conflicts than intrastate warfare, but about one-third of conflict in the host economies. IMF working paper ;WP/09/283.International tradeInternational economic relationsElectronic books.International trade.International economic relations.Qureshi Mahvash Saeed872367International Monetary Fund.MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910463696203321Trade and thy neighbor's war1947643UNINA