03267nam 2200673 450 991046041550332120200520144314.00-8131-4903-7(CKB)3710000000334140(EBL)1915309(SSID)ssj0000226686(PQKBManifestationID)11210205(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000226686(PQKBWorkID)10258014(PQKB)10706520(MiAaPQ)EBC1915309(OCoLC)624308064(MdBmJHUP)muse43925(Au-PeEL)EBL1915309(CaPaEBR)ebr11011686(CaONFJC)MIL690776(OCoLC)900344659(EXLCZ)99371000000033414020150227h19971997 uy 0engurcnu||||||||txtccrThe presidential pulse of congressional elections /James E. CampbellSecond edition.Lexington, Kentucky :The University Press of Kentucky,1997.©19971 online resource (333 p.)Description based upon print version of record.1-322-59494-5 0-8131-1820-4 Includes bibliographical references and index.Cover; Title; Copyright; Contents; List of Tables and Figures; Acknowledgments; Introduction; Part 1. Theories of Midterm Elections; 1 The Midterm Question; 2 The Premises of Surge and Decline; 3 The Propositions and Evidence of Surge and Decline; 4 The Theory of the Midterm Referendum; Part 2. The Presidential Pulse; 5 The Revised Theory of Surge and Decline; 6 Evidence from National Elections; 7 Evidence in Congressional Districts; 8 Evidence in the Electorate; 9 Surge and Decline in Subpresidential Elections; 10 The Presidential Pulse in the 1990's; 11 Reflections on the Presidential PulseAppendix 1 Presidential Vote and House-Seat Regressions Appendix 2 Robust Regression of National Evidence; Notes; References; Index;An intriguing phenomenon in American electoral politics is the loss of seats by the president's party in midterm congressional elections. Between 1862 and 1990, the president's party lost seats in the House of Representatives in 32 of the 33 midterm elections. In his new study, James Campbell examines explanations for these midterm losses and explores how presidential elections influence congressional elections. After reviewing the two major theories of midterm electoral change-the ""surge and decline"" theory and the theory of midterms as referenda on presidential performance Campbell draws upElectionsUnited StatesVotingUnited StatesPolitical partiesUnited StatesPresidentsUnited StatesElectronic books.ElectionsVotingPolitical partiesPresidents324.973Campbell James E.1952-970850MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910460415503321The presidential pulse of congressional elections2447840UNINA