02495nam 2200589Ia 450 991045685600332120200520144314.01-282-55461-197866125546120-309-11661-9(CKB)2550000000010443(EBL)3378585(SSID)ssj0000425113(PQKBManifestationID)11292301(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000425113(PQKBWorkID)10476298(PQKB)11651260(MiAaPQ)EBC3378585(Au-PeEL)EBL3378585(CaPaEBR)ebr10367638(CaONFJC)MIL255461(OCoLC)923281405(EXLCZ)99255000000001044320091021d2010 uy 0engurcn|||||||||txtccrPersistent forecasting of disruptive technologies[electronic resource] /Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National AcademiesWashington, D.C. National Academies Pressc20101 online resource (137 p.)Description based upon print version of record.0-309-11660-0 Includes bibliographical references.""Front Matter""; ""Preface""; ""Acknowledgment of Reviewers""; ""Contents""; ""Acronyms and Abbreviations""; ""Glossary""; ""Summary""; ""1 Need for Persistent Long-Term Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies""; ""2 Existing Technology Forecasting Methodologies""; ""3 The Nature of Disruptive Technologies""; ""4 Reducing Forecasting Ignorance and Bias""; ""5 Ideal Attributes of a Disruptive Technology Forecasting System""; ""6 Evaluating Existing Persistent Forecasting Systems""; ""7 Conclusion""; ""Appendixes""; ""Appendix A: Biographical Sketches of Committee Members""""Appendix B: Meetings and Speakers""Disruptive technologiesTechnological forecastingTechnological innovationsElectronic books.Disruptive technologies.Technological forecasting.Technological innovations.601.12MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910456856003321Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies2030834UNINA