03111nam 22006252 450 991045494360332120151005020623.01-107-11841-71-280-15896-40-511-11814-70-511-14944-10-511-32446-40-511-49232-40-511-04891-2(CKB)111056485651442(EBL)202046(OCoLC)228039932(SSID)ssj0000146236(PQKBManifestationID)11164956(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000146236(PQKBWorkID)10186248(PQKB)11151225(UkCbUP)CR9780511492327(MiAaPQ)EBC202046(Au-PeEL)EBL202046(CaPaEBR)ebr2000930(CaONFJC)MIL15896(EXLCZ)9911105648565144220090302d1999|||| uy| 0engur|||||||||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierEmpirical modeling in economics specification and evaluation /Clive W.J. Granger[electronic resource]Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,1999.1 online resource (xii, 99 pages) digital, PDF file(s)Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).0-521-77825-5 0-521-66208-7 Includes bibliographical references and index.Foreword / G.C. Harcourt -- 1. The specification of empirical models -- 2. The evaluation of empirical models -- 3. Comments on the evaluation of econometric models and of forecasts.In these three essays, Professor Granger explains the process of constructing and evaluating an empirical model. Drawing on a wide range of cases and vignettes from economics, finance, politics and environment economics, as well as from art, literature, and the entertainment industry, Professor Granger combines rigour with intuition to provide a unique and entertaining insight into one of the most important subjects in modern economics. Chapter 1 deals with Specification. The process of specifying a model is discussed using deforestation in the Amazon region of Brazil as an illustration. Chapter 2 considers Evaluation, and argues that insufficent evaluation is undertaken by economists, and that models should be evaluated in terms of the quality of their output. In Chapter 3, the question of how to evaluate forecasts is considered at several levels of increasing depth and using a more sophisticated, technical approach than in the earlier two chapters.EconomicsMathematical modelsEconometricsEvaluationEconomicsMathematical models.EconometricsEvaluation.330.015118Granger C. W. J(Clive William John),1934-2009,293360UkCbUPUkCbUPBOOK9910454943603321Empirical modeling in economics509061UNINA