03987nam 22007095 450 991043813850332120250402124201.01-283-93448-51-4614-6040-910.1007/978-1-4614-6040-4(CKB)3400000000093772(EBL)1082067(OCoLC)822978250(SSID)ssj0000811904(PQKBManifestationID)11432708(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000811904(PQKBWorkID)10859116(PQKB)11541955(DE-He213)978-1-4614-6040-4(MiAaPQ)EBC1082067(PPN)168304562(EXLCZ)99340000000009377220121205d2013 u| 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrStrategic Economic Decision-Making Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Solve Complex Problems /by Jeff Grover1st ed. 2013.New York, NY :Springer New York :Imprint: Springer,2013.1 online resource (121 p.)SpringerBriefs in Statistics,2191-5458 ;9Description based upon print version of record.1-4614-6039-5 Includes bibliographical references and index.Strategic Economic Decision Making: The Use of Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN) in Solving Complex Problems -- A Literature Review of Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN) -- Statistical Properties of Bayes’ Theorem -- Bayes Belief Networks (BBN) Experimental Protocol -- Manufacturing Example -- Political Science Example -- Gambling Example -- Publicly Traded Company Default Example -- Insurance Risk Levels Example -- Acts of Terrorism Example -- Currency Wars Example -- College Entrance Exams Example -- Special Forces Assessment and Selection (SFAS) One-Stage Example -- Special Forces Assessment and Selection (SFAS) Two-Stage Example.Strategic Economic Decision-Making: Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Solve Complex Problems is a quick primer on the topic that introduces readers to the basic complexities and nuances associated with learning Bayes’ theory and inverse probability for the first time. This brief is meant for non-statisticians who are unfamiliar with Bayes’ theorem, walking them through the theoretical phases of set and sample set selection, the axioms of probability, probability theory as it pertains to Bayes’ theorem, and posterior probabilities. All of these concepts are explained as they appear in the methodology of fitting a Bayes’ model, and upon completion of the text readers will be able to mathematically determine posterior probabilities of multiple independent nodes across any system available for study.  Very little has been published in the area of discrete Bayes’ theory, and this brief will appeal to non-statisticians conducting research in the fields of engineering, computing, life sciences, and social sciences.    .SpringerBriefs in Statistics,2191-5458 ;9StatisticsSocial sciencesStatistical methodsStatisticsStatisticsStatistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public PolicyStatistical Theory and MethodsStatistics.Social sciencesStatistical methods.Statistics.Statistics.Statistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public Policy.Statistical Theory and Methods.519.5519.5/42519.542Grover Jeff756110MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910438138503321Strategic Economic Decision-Making2502693UNINA