03686 am 22006253u 450 991034822810332120210217074109.01-134-76541-X1-134-76542-81-280-22125-997866102212570-203-98205-310.4324/9780203982051 (CKB)1000000000253861(EBL)1138316(SSID)ssj0000248943(PQKBManifestationID)11221946(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000248943(PQKBWorkID)10202729(PQKB)10698124(MiAaPQ)EBC1138316(OCoLC)252723417(EXLCZ)99100000000025386120180331d1996 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrThe South African economy macroeconomic prospects for the medium term /Finn Tarp and Peter BrixenLondon ;New York :Routledge,1996.1 online resource (236 p.)Routledge Studies in Development Economics,1359-7884Description based upon print version of record.0-415-14260-1 Includes bibliographical references and index.Cover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; List of Figures; List of Table and Boxes; Preface; Acknowledgements; Abbreviations; 1. INTRODUCTION; 2. GENERAL COUNTRY BACKGROUND; Macroeconomic features and trend; Socio-economic characteristics; Legacies of apartheid in perspective; Policy frameworks; 3. ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK AND BASE YEAR DATA; Prices and exchange rates; Material balance; Balance of payments; Money market; Government accounts; Other variables; Disaggregated GDP and export data; Conclusion; 4. MODELLING FRAMEWORKS; The financial programming approach of the IMFThe Revised Minimum Standard Model of the World BankDiscussion; 5. MODEL EXPERIMENTS; Experiment 1: Exchange rate depreciation; Experiment 2: Government external borrowing; Experiment 3: Foreign reserves; Experiment 4: Domestic inflation; Experiment 5: GDP growth; Experiment 6: Export quantity versus export price; Conclusion; 6. BASE RUN; Background; Demand and supply; Prices and exchange rates; Balance of payments; Government accounts; Asset stocks; Conclusion; 7. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS; Introduction; Alternative assumptions; Results; Summing-up; 8. CONCLUSIONAPPENDIX A: Modelling frameworks in GAMSA.1 Introduction; A.2 Financial Programming Framework; A.3 The Revised Minimum Standard Model; APPENDIX Β: BASE RUN; APPENDIX C: OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO; APPENDIX D: PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO; Bibliography; IndexWhat are the macroeconomic prospects for South Africa until the new millennium? Two methods of macroeconomic modelling, associated with the World Bank and IMF, are used here to generate three scenarios, based on moderately optimistic projections. The methodology used can be applied to other developing countries.Routledge studies in development economics.Economic forecastingSouth AfricaEconometric modelsSouth AfricaEconomic conditions1991-Econometric modelsSouth AfricaEconomic policyEconometric modelsElectronic books.Economic forecastingEconometric models.330.968/064Tarp Finn1951,861690Brixen Peter1963-253031FlBoTFGFlBoTFGBOOK9910348228103321The South African economy2120294UNINA