03118nam 22005535 450 991033767850332120240702113510.09783319972237331997223510.1007/978-3-319-97223-7(CKB)4100000007335071(DE-He213)978-3-319-97223-7(MiAaPQ)EBC5627140(Perlego)3485637(EXLCZ)99410000000733507120181231d2019 u| 0engurnn|008mamaatxtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierMacroeconomic Survey Expectations /by Michael P. Clements1st ed. 2019.Cham :Springer International Publishing :Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan,2019.1 online resource (XVI, 196 p. 5 illus., 2 illus. in color.) Palgrave Texts in Econometrics,2662-66089783319972220 3319972227 Chapter 1: Introduction -- Chapter 2: The Nature of Survey Expectations -- Chapter 3: Working with Forecast Data -- Chapter 4: Assessing the Point Predictions -- Chapter 5: Assessing the Accuracy of the Probability Distributions -- Chapter 6: Consistency of the Point Forecasts and Probability Distributions -- Chapter 7: Macroeconomic Uncertainty - Surveys versus Models? -- Chapter 8: Behavioural Models of Expectations Formation -- Chapter 9: Expectations Shocks and the Macroeconomy.Why should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the difficulties posed by the way in which survey expectations are elicited and considers the evaluation of point predictions and probability distributions. He outlines how, from a behavioural perspective, surveys offer insight into how economic agents form their expectations. Michael Clements is Professor of Econometrics at the ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading, UK. He is Series Editor of Palgrave Texts in Econometrics and Palgrave Advanced Texts in Econometrics, and has published extensively on time series econometrics, modelling and forecasting. .Palgrave Texts in Econometrics,2662-6608EconometricsMacroeconomicsExperimental economicsEconometricsMacroeconomics and Monetary EconomicsExperimental EconomicsEconometrics.Macroeconomics.Experimental economics.Econometrics.Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics.Experimental Economics.330.015195Clements Michael Pauthttp://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut141636BOOK9910337678503321Macroeconomic Survey Expectations2232921UNINA