00909nam a22002291i 450099100098913970753620030122134515.0021111s1934 gr |||||||||||||||||gre b12084190-39ule_instARCHE-017399ExLDip.to Filologia Ling. e Lett.itaA.t.i. Arché s.c.r.l. Pandora Sicilia s.r.l.Blastos, Petros450149E Ellenike kai Merikes Alles Paralleles Diglossies /Petros BlastosAthena :Estia,1934254 p. ;19 cmLingua greca moderna.b1208419002-04-1401-04-03991000989139707536LE008 FL.M. Neogr. 5621LE008IFM-6747/bisle008-E0.00-no 00000.i1238357001-04-03Ellenike kai Merikes Alles Paralleles Diglossies140701UNISALENTOle00801-04-03ma -gregr 2103881nam 22006975 450 991030414200332120200919071328.03-658-08669-610.1007/978-3-658-08669-5(CKB)3710000000342494(EBL)1967573(SSID)ssj0001424539(PQKBManifestationID)11778174(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001424539(PQKBWorkID)11367591(PQKB)10794468(DE-He213)978-3-658-08669-5(MiAaPQ)EBC1967573(PPN)183519337(EXLCZ)99371000000034249420150120d2015 u| 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrModeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand A Risk Management Perspective /by Kevin Berk1st ed. 2015.Wiesbaden :Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden :Imprint: Springer Spektrum,2015.1 online resource (123 p.)BestMasters,2625-3577Description based upon print version of record.3-658-08668-8 Includes bibliographical references.Electricity Market -- Energy Economy in Enterprises -- Time Series Analysis -- A one Factor Model for medium-term Load Forecasting -- Retail Contract Evaluation and Pricing -- MATLAB Implementation.The master thesis of Kevin Berk develops a stochastic model for the electricity demand of small and medium-sized companies that is flexible enough so that it can be used for various business sectors. The model incorporates the grid load as an exogenous factor and seasonalities on a daily, weekly and yearly basis. It is demonstrated how the model can be used e.g. for estimating the risk of retail contracts. The uncertainty of electricity demand is an important risk factor for customers as well as for utilities and retailers. As a consequence, forecasting electricity load and its risk is now an integral component of the risk management for all market participants.  Contents Electricity Market Energy Economy in Enterprises Time Series Analysis A one Factor Model for medium-term Load Forecasting Retail Contract Evaluation and Pricing MATLAB Implementation  Target  Groups Researchers and students in energy economics or mathematics and statistics with a focus on applications in energy markets Professionals in electricity utilities, energy vendors, risk management  The Author Kevin Berk is a Ph.D. student at the Mathematics Department of the University Siegen, Germany. His major research focus is risk management and time series models with applications in energy markets.BestMasters,2625-3577Energy policyEnergy policyProbabilitiesEnergy consumptionEnergy Policy, Economics and Managementhttps://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/112000Probability Theory and Stochastic Processeshttps://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/M27004Energy Efficiencyhttps://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/118000Energy policy.Energy policy.Probabilities.Energy consumption.Energy Policy, Economics and Management.Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes.Energy Efficiency.333.79338926519.2621.042658.26Berk Kevinauthttp://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut892723BOOK9910304142003321Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand1993986UNINA