03321nam 22006615 450 991030011310332120250504233932.03-319-76297-410.1007/978-3-319-76297-5(CKB)4100000004243705(DE-He213)978-3-319-76297-5(MiAaPQ)EBC5379770(PPN)227406176(EXLCZ)99410000000424370520180502d2018 u| 0engurnn|008mamaatxtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierThe Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results A Practical Guide /by Eduard Hofer1st ed. 2018.Cham :Springer International Publishing :Imprint: Springer,2018.1 online resource (XV, 346 p. 129 illus., 107 illus. in color.) 3-319-76296-6 Includes bibliographical references.Preface -- Introduction and necessary distinctions -- Step 1: Search -- Step 2: Quantify -- Step 3: Propagate -- Step 4: Estimate uncertainty -- Step 5: Rank uncertainties -- Step 6: Present the analysis and interpret its results -- Practical execution of the analysis -- Uncertainty analysis when separation of uncertainties is required -- Practical examples -- References -- Subject index.This book is a practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer model applications. Used in many areas, such as engineering, ecology and economics, computer models are subject to various uncertainties at the level of model formulations, parameter values and input data. Naturally, it would be advantageous to know the combined effect of these uncertainties on the model results as well as whether the state of knowledge should be improved in order to reduce the uncertainty of the results most effectively. The book supports decision-makers, model developers and users in their argumentation for an uncertainty analysis and assists them in the interpretation of the analysis results.StatisticsComputer simulationMathematical modelsEconometricsEnvironmental sciencesMathematicsSecurity systemsStatistical Theory and MethodsComputer ModellingMathematical Modeling and Industrial MathematicsQuantitative EconomicsMathematical Applications in Environmental ScienceSecurity Science and TechnologyStatistics.Computer simulation.Mathematical models.Econometrics.Environmental sciencesMathematics.Security systems.Statistical Theory and Methods.Computer Modelling.Mathematical Modeling and Industrial Mathematics.Quantitative Economics.Mathematical Applications in Environmental Science.Security Science and Technology.519.5Hofer Eduardauthttp://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut767930BOOK9910300113103321The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results2163207UNINA