03159nam 2200601 450 991022014230332120200520144314.00-8330-9093-3(CKB)3710000000443710(EBL)2089651(SSID)ssj0001514853(PQKBManifestationID)12580487(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001514853(PQKBWorkID)11481257(PQKB)11720944(MiAaPQ)EBC2089651(Au-PeEL)EBL2089651(CaPaEBR)ebr11077930(OCoLC)911200071(EXLCZ)99371000000044371020150724h20152015 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrThe future of mobility scenarios for China in 2030 /Liisa Ecola, Johanna Zmud, Kun Gu, Peter Phleps, Irene FeigeSanta Monica, California :RAND Corporation,2015.©20151 online resource (119 p.)Description based upon print version of record.0-8330-9035-6 Includes bibliographical references.Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Foreword; Preface; Contents; Summary Research Question; Methodology; The Scenarios; Implications for Decisionmakers; Conclusions; Acknowledgments; Chapter One: Introduction; Study Objectives; Creating the Scenarios; Why the Scenarios Matter; Report Organization; Chapter Two: Past Trends in Influencing Areas; Demographic Trends; Economic Trends; Energy Trends; Transportation Supply and Constraint Trends; Chapter Three: Key Drivers and Common Projections; Key Drivers; Common Projections; Chapter Four: The Scenarios; Background to All ScenariosScenario 1: The Great ResetScenario 2: Slowing but Growing; Chapter Five: Wild-Card Scenario; Debt Comes Due; Chapter Six: Implications of the Scenarios; Implications for Transportation Policy; Implications for Transportation Decisionmaking; Utility of the Wild-Card Scenario; Chapter Seven: Conclusions; Appendix A: Methodology; Appendix B: List of Experts; Bibliography; Figures and Tables; AbbreviationsResearchers developed two scenarios to envision the future of mobility in China in 2030. Economic growth, the presence of constraints on vehicle ownership and driving, and environmental conditions differentiate the scenarios. By making potential long-term mobility futures more vivid, the team sought to help decisionmakers at different levels of government and in the private sector better anticipate and prepare for change.TransportationChinaForecastingTransportation engineeringChinaTransportationForecasting.Transportation engineering388.0951 /01Ecola Liisa913864Zmud JohannaGu KunPhleps PeterFeige IreneMiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910220142303321The future of mobility2047537UNINA