03693oam 2200565z- 450 9910220139203321202310050-8330-9347-9(CKB)3710000000595138(oapen)doab115563(EXLCZ)99371000000059513820160307c2015uuuu -u- -engurmn|---annantxtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierFrom Negative to Positive StabilityHow the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's OutlookRAND Corporation20151 online resource0-8330-9087-9 Preface --Figures and Table --Summary --Chapter One: Introduction to the Status of Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014:Geographic Orientation and Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014 --Syrian Refugees in Jordan: Late 2014 --Methodology --Organization of This Report --Chapter Two: Assessment of Stability and Strategic Challenges: Late 2014:Jordan's Stability as of Late 2014 --Security from External and Internal Threats --Political Turmoil and the Impact of the Arab Spring --Water Shortages Contribute to Economic and Social Unease --Economic and Financial Dependencies --Existing Refugee and Nonnational Worker Populations --Summary of Stability Issues as of Late 2014 --Chapter Three: Economic Factors and Forecasted Impact:Current Economic Status and Economic Integration of Syrian Refugees --Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Economic Stability --Chapter Four: Social Factors and Forecasted Impact:Assessing Late-2014 Social Integration and Social Impacts of Syrian Refugees --Forecast: Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Social Stability --Chapter Five: Security Assessment and Forecasted Impact:Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordanian Security as of Late 2014 --Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Security --Chapter Six: Conclusion, Summary Forecast, and Black Swan Warnings:Black Swans --Abbreviations --Bibliography.This report's analytic forecasts should help the United States determine how to support Jordan as it faces the Syrian refugee crisis. Jordanians are dissatisfied with many aspects of their government, but the chaos in neighboring states has thus far deterred civil or violent actions. If Jordan wisely invests international refugee support, it can increase popular opinion by improving the lives of Syrian refugees and Jordanian citizens.From Negative to Positive StabilityEnvironmental policy and protocolsbicsscHuman rights, civil rightsbicsscInternational relationsbicsscMiddle Eastern historybicsscPublic international law: treaties and other sourcesbicsscSyriaHistoryCivil War, 2011-JordanEconomic conditions21st centuryJordanSocial conditions21st centuryJordanfastSyriafastHistory.fastHistoryPolitical ScienceEnvironmental policy and protocolsHuman rights, civil rightsInternational relationsMiddle Eastern historyPublic international law: treaties and other sources362.87095695Connable Ben924041Rand Corporation,National Defense Research Institute (U.S.),BOOK9910220139203321From negative to positive stability2886752UNINA