03189nam 22006014a 450 991022013380332120200520144314.00-8330-4088-X(CKB)1000000000474862(EBL)784078(OCoLC)781422353(SSID)ssj0000279212(PQKBManifestationID)11912370(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000279212(PQKBWorkID)10259882(PQKB)11580139(Au-PeEL)EBL784078(CaPaEBR)ebr10152641(MiAaPQ)EBC784078(EXLCZ)99100000000047486220050510d2005 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrImplications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems /Paul K. Davis, Jonathan Kulick, Michael Egner1st ed.Santa Monica, CA Rand, Project Air Force20051 online resource (181 p.)"Prepared for the United States Air Force, approved for Public release; distribution unlimited.""MG-360-AF"--P. [4] cover.0-8330-3808-7 Includes bibliographical references.Cover; Preface; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; Chapter One - Introductions; Objective; Definition and Scope; Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research; Approach in This Monograph; Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking; How to Think About Decisionmaking; Images of the Decision Process; The Problems of Heuristics and Biases; The Naturalistic School; Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking; Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution; Decision Analysis and Game Theory; Systems Analysis; Policy AnalysisSummary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScienceChapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis; Introduction; Broad Methods; Enablers; Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations; Introduction; Improving Automated Decision Support; Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support; General Recommendations; Chapter Six - Conclusions; The Decisionmaking Component; The Analysis Component; Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign; Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models; Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSSBibliographyAn overview of higher-level decisionmaking and modern methods to improve decision supportMilitary planningUnited StatesDecision makingData processingDecision support systemsMilitary planningDecision makingData processing.Decision support systems.358.4/07/0973Davis Paul K.1943-854843Kulick Jonathan1966-863716Egner Michael863717MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910220133803321Implications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems1927799UNINA