03468nam 2200721 a 450 991022007950332120200520144314.01-282-94056-297866129405690-8330-5081-8(CKB)2670000000047119(EBL)618729(OCoLC)686707068(SSID)ssj0000474421(PQKBManifestationID)11913296(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000474421(PQKBWorkID)10453973(PQKB)10404285(Au-PeEL)EBL618729(CaPaEBR)ebr10425060(MiAaPQ)EBC618729(EXLCZ)99267000000004711920100201d2010 uy 0engurcn|||||||||txtccrWhither al-Anbar Province? five scenarios through 2011 /James B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini1st ed.Santa Monica, CA RAND20101 online resource (28 p.)RAND Corporation occasional paper series ;OP-278-MCIAReport of results of three RAND workshops held in November and December 2008."The research ... was conducted in the National Defense Research Institute."0-8330-4803-1 Includes bibliographical references.Executive summary -- What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province? -- How this study was conducted -- Implications -- Major takeaways -- Study approach -- Assumptions -- Drivers -- Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival -- Scenario B: Every clan for itself -- Scenario C: Iron fist -- Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad -- Scenario E: Path to stability -- The importance of drivers -- Indications and warnings -- Conclusions and implications.As U.S. forces withdraw from Iraq, significant changes can be expected throughout al-Anbar Province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relationships. RAND convened a series of three one-day workshops at which participants identified five relatively distinct futures, or scenarios, for al-Anbar that provide plausible but alternative trajectories for the province between early 2009 and the end of 2011.Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ;OP-278-MCIA.Social predictionIraqAnbar (Province)Case studiesCongressesSocial changeIraqAnbar (Province)CongressesIraq War, 2003-2011InfluenceCongressesDisengagement (Military science)CongressesUnited StatesArmed ForcesCongressesAnbar (Iraq : Province)Politics and government21st centuryForecastingCongressesAnbar (Iraq : Province)Social conditions21st centuryForecastingCongressesAnbar (Iraq : Province)Economic conditions21st centuryForecastingCongressesSocial predictionCase studiesSocial changeIraq War, 2003-2011InfluenceDisengagement (Military science)956.7044/31Bruce James B905758Martini Jeffrey905759National Defense Research Institute (U.S.)MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910220079503321Whither al-Anbar Province2025943UNINA