03779nam 2200553 450 991021997420332120211005032710.00-8330-8255-8(CKB)3710000000076112(EBL)1597451(OCoLC)868491408(SSID)ssj0001152031(PQKBManifestationID)11630808(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001152031(PQKBWorkID)11144701(PQKB)11553901(MiAaPQ)EBC1597451(MiAaPQ)EBC3423071(Au-PeEL)EBL3423071(PPN)270259872(EXLCZ)99371000000007611220131218d2013 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrAddressing climate change in local water agency plans demonstrating a simplified robust decision making approach in the California Sierra foothills /David G. Groves [and four others]Santa Monica, California :Rand,2013.©20131 online resource (77 p.)Description based upon print version of record.Includes bibliographical references.Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; About This Document; The RAND Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Introduction; Use of Robust Decision Making to Evaluate Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Strategies; Results; How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under a Wide Range of Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; Under What Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs and How Can They Inform Decisions?; Conclusion; AcknowledgmentsAbbreviations1. Introduction; 2. An Approach for Addressing Climate Change by Local Water Agencies; 3. Application to Local Water Agency Planning; El Dorado Irrigation District and Its Long-Term Planning; EID Overview; EID Management Challenges and Opportunities; EID Master Plan; Incorporating Climate and Other Uncertainty into EID's Planning; XLRM Framework for Structuring Uncertainty Analysis; Relationships (R); Uncertainties (X); Management Options and Strategies (L); Performance Metrics (M); Experimental Design; Interactive Visualizations; 4. ResultsHow Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Standard Planning Assumptions?How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Alternative but Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; To Which Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs Among EID's Strategies for Reducing Vulnerability?; How Can Expectations of the Future Inform EID Planning Decisions?; 5. Discussion; ReferencesThis report describes an approach for planning under deep uncertainty, Robust Decision Making (RDM), and demonstrates its use by the El Dorado Irrigation District (EID). Using RDM, the authors and EID tested the robustness of current long-term water management plans and more robust alternatives across more than 50 futures reflecting different assumptions about future climate, urban growth, and the availability of important new supplies.Climatic changesEnvironmental aspectsClimatic changesEnvironmental aspects.333.911Groves David G847615Groves David G847615MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910219974203321Addressing climate change in local water agency plans1899491UNINA