03268nam 22005654a 450 991021996180332120200520144314.00-8330-4093-6(CKB)1000000000474864(EBL)784081(OCoLC)781424032(Au-PeEL)EBL784081(CaPaEBR)ebr10152592(MiAaPQ)EBC784081(EXLCZ)99100000000047486420050818d2005 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtrdacontentcrdamediacrrdacarrierEstimating terrorism risk /Henry H. Willis ... [et al.]1st ed.Santa Monica, CA RAND20051 online resource (93 p.)Rand Corporation monograph series"MG-388-RC"--P. [4] of cover.0-8330-3834-6 Includes bibliographical references (p. 63-66).The RAND Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy; Center for Terrorism Risk Management AdvisoryBoard; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Risk Assessment Versus Resource Allocation; Scope and Limitations; Overview of This Monograph; CHAPTER TWO- Terrorism Risk and Its Components; Threat; Vulnerability; Consequences; Risk as a Function of Threat, Vulnerability, andConsequences; CHAPTER THREE- Accounting for Uncertainty and Values in Terrorism Risk AssessmentUncertainties in the Estimation of Threat, Vulnerability,and ConsequencesReflecting Values in Terrorism Risk Management; Implications of Uncertainty and Values for Managing Terrorism Risk; CHAPTER FOUR- Two Approaches to Estimating Terrorism Risk in Urban Areas; Simple Risk Indicators: Population-Based Metrics; Event-Based Models: The RMS Terrorism Risk Model; Comparison of Population, Density-Weighted Population,and the Aggregated Estimate of Urban Area Risk Shares; CHAPTER FIVE- Evaluating the Performance of Different Estimates of Terrorism Risk; The Performance of Terrorism Risk EstimatesCHAPTER SIX- Conclusions and RecommendationsDefining Terrorism Risk; Reflecting Uncertainty in Terrorism Risk Assessment; Simple Versus Event-Based Risk Estimates; Recommendations; APPENDIX- Supporting Figures and Table; BibliographyThis monograph provides a practical definition of terrorism risk, presents a method of estimating it, and demonstrates a framework for evaluating this method. Results support conclusions on how to improve risk-based resource allocation.Rand Corporation monograph series.TerrorismUnited StatesPreventionTerrorismRisk assessmentUnited StatesFederal aid to terrorism preventionUnited StatesPlanningTerrorismPrevention.TerrorismRisk assessmentFederal aid to terrorism preventionPlanning.363.32Willis Henry H904738Rand Corporation.MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910219961803321Estimating terrorism risk2194761UNINA