03273nam 22006374a 450 991021996100332120200520144314.01-281-18091-297866111809110-8330-4248-3(CKB)1000000000481435(EBL)322534(OCoLC)476119919(SSID)ssj0000152360(PQKBManifestationID)11163171(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000152360(PQKBWorkID)10321387(PQKB)11490313(Au-PeEL)EBL322534(CaPaEBR)ebr10225484(OCoLC)85779281(Au-PeEL)EBL4970006(CaONFJC)MIL118091(MiAaPQ)EBC322534(MiAaPQ)EBC4970006(oapen)doab114652(EXLCZ)99100000000048143520060407d2007 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrExploring terrorist targeting preferences /Martin C. Libicki, Peter Chalk, Melanie Sisson1st ed.Santa Monica, CA RANDc20071 online resource (131 p.)"MG-483."0-8330-3913-X Includes bibliographical references.Cover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; Chapter One - Introduction; Chapter Two - What Drives al Qaeda's Choice of Targets?; The al Qaeda Targeting Process: Four Hypotheses; Some Observations on Rationality; Alternatives to Rational Action; Organization; Chapter Three - Hypothesis Testing: Quantitative and Qualitative Measures; Measuring Intent; Modeling Intent; Testing Hypotheses Against Past Attacks; Chapter Four - Hypothesis Testing: Al Qaeda Statements and Expert Observations; Al Qaeda's Reading of History Suggests the Leverage ofTerrorismThe Coercion HypothesisThe Damage Hypothesis; The Rally Hypothesis; The Franchise Hypothesis; Conclusions; Chapter Five - Ramifications for al Qaeda Attack Planning in the United States; Coercion; Damage; Rally; Franchise; Is the United States Off the Target List for the TimeBeing?; Conclusions; BibliographyAl Qaeda, the jihadist network personified by Osama bin laden, seeks a restored caliphate free of Western influence. It uses terror as its means. But how does terrorism serve the ends of al Qaeda? Understanding its strategic logic might suggest what U.S. targets it may seek to strike and why. This monograph posits four hypotheses to link means and ends. The coercion hypothesis suggests that terrorists are interested in causing pain, notably casualties, to frighten the United States into pursuing favorable policies (e.g., withdrawing from the Islamic world). The damage hypothesis posits that teTerrorismUnited StatesPreventionTerrorismPrevention.363.325Libicki Martin C877014Chalk Peter674558Sisson Melanie1053142MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910219961003321Exploring terrorist targeting preferences2484872UNINA