02950nam 2200577 450 991016492660332120170320123027.00-19-067699-X0-19-067700-70-19-934175-3(CKB)3710000001064466(MiAaPQ)EBC4811947(StDuBDS)EDZ0001642822(PPN)229853579(EXLCZ)99371000000106446620170310h20172017 uy 0engurcnu||||||||rdacontentrdamediardacarrierIntelligence success and failure the human factor /Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermottNew York, NY :Oxford University Press,2017.1 online resource (281 pages)Includes index.0-19-934174-5 0-19-934173-7 Includes bibliographical references and index.Machine generated contents note: -- Contents -- Introduction -- Part One: The Theoretical Framework -- Chapter I. Surprise Attack: A Framework for Discussion -- Chapter II. Examining the Learning Process -- Part Two: The Empirical Evidence -- The First Dyad: Barbarossa and the Battle for Moscow -- Case Study I: The Failure -- Case Study II: Success: The Battle for Moscow -- The Second Dyad: The USA in the Korean War -- Case study I: Failing to Forecast the War -- Case Study II: Failure II: The Chinese Intervention of Fall 1950 -- The Third Dyad: Intelligence Failure and Success in the War of Yom Kippur -- Case Study I: The Failure -- Case Study II: The Success -- Chapter VI. Conclusions.'Intelligence Success and Failure' presents a new theory in the study of strategic surprise that claims the key explanation for warning failure is not unintentional action, but rather, motivated biases in key intelligence and central leaders that null any sense of doubt prior to surprise attacks.Military intelligenceDecision makingPsychological aspectsSurprise (Military science)World War, 1939-1945Military intelligenceSoviet Unionorean War, 1950-1953Military intelligenceUnited StatesIsrael-Arab War, 1973Military intelligenceIsraelMilitary intelligenceDecision makingPsychological aspects.Surprise (Military science)World War, 1939-1945Military intelligenceorean War, 1950-1953Military intelligenceIsrael-Arab War, 1973Military intelligence355.3432POL036000POL012000PSY000000bisacshBar-Joseph Uri1147854McDermott Rose1962-MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910164926603321Intelligence success and failure2868667UNINA