03463nam 2200625Ia 450 991014469580332120170816115725.01-282-30753-397866123075390-470-31678-00-470-31745-0(CKB)1000000000687541(EBL)469965(OCoLC)264615255(SSID)ssj0000337165(PQKBManifestationID)11258503(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000337165(PQKBWorkID)10287639(PQKB)10665759(MiAaPQ)EBC469965(PPN)159488133(EXLCZ)99100000000068754119880621d1989 uy 0engur|n|---|||||txtccrEmpirical model building[electronic resource] /James R. ThompsonNew York Wileyc19891 online resource (264 p.)Wiley series in probability and mathematical statistics. Probability and mathematical statistics,0271-6232Description based upon print version of record.0-471-60105-5 Includes bibliographical references.Empirical Model Building; Contents; Introduction; 1. Models of Growth and Decay; 1.1. A Simple Pension and Annuity Plan; 1.2. Income Tax Bracket Creep; 1.3. Retirement of a Mortgage; 1.4. Some Mathematical Descriptions of the Model of Malthus; 1.5. Metastasis and Resistance; 2. Models of Competition, Combat, and Epidemic; 2.1. An Analysis of the Demographics of Ancient Israel Based on Figures in the Books of Numbers, Judges, and II Samuel; 2.2. The Plague and John Graunt's Life Table; 2.3. Modular Wargaming; 2.4. Predation and Immune Response Systems; 2.5. Pyramid Clubs for Fun and Profit2.6. A Simple Model of AIDS3. Simulation and the Coming Qualitative Change in Scientific ModeIing; 3.1. Simulation-Based Techniques for Dealing with Problems Usually Approached via Differential Equation Modeling; 3.2. SIMDAT: An Algorithm for Data-Based Simulation; 3.3 Simulation-Based Estimation; 4. Some Techniques of Nonstandard Data Analysis; 4.1. A Glimpse at Exploratory Data Analysis; 4.2. Nonparametric Density Estimation; 5. Paradoxes and False Trails; 5.1. Some Problems with Group Consensus; 5.2. Stein's Paradox; 5.3. Fuzzy Set Theory; 5.4. Quality Control; AppendixA.1. A Brief Primer in StochasticsA.2. A Simple Optimization Algorithm that Usually Works; IndexA hands-on approach to the basic principles of empirical model building. Includes a series of real-world statistical problems illustrating modeling skills and techniques. Covers models of growth and decay, systems where competition and interaction add to the complexity of the model, and discusses both classical and nonclassical data analysis methods.Wiley Series in Probability and StatisticsExperimental designMathematical modelsMathematical statisticsExperimental design.Mathematical models.Mathematical statistics.519.5Thompson James R(James Robert),1938-141788MiAaPQMiAaPQMiAaPQBOOK9910144695803321Empirical model building835657UNINA