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Record Nr. |
UNISA996217316503316 |
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Autore |
Evans Robert <1968, > |
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Titolo |
Macroeconomic forecasting : a sociological appraisal / / Robert Evans |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 1999 |
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ISBN |
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1-280-33230-1 |
1-134-62346-1 |
0-203-25509-7 |
0-203-02720-5 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (254 p.) |
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Collana |
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Routledge studies in the modern world economy |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Economic forecasting |
Macroeconomics - Econometric models |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references (p. 214-223) and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Book Cover; Title; Contents; List of figures; List of tables; List of equations; List of models; Acknowledgements; Who knows what tomorrow brings? Brief introductions to the sociology of scientific knowledge and to economic forecasting; Cherished beliefs and t-statistics: how economic models are estimated; Extrapolations and expertise: how economic forecasts are made; Soothsaying or science? Choosing between economic models; Different models: economic forecasts in February 1993; Different futures: controversies and disputes in July 1993 |
Difficult choices: policy recommendations in October 1993Economic models, economic policy and science studies; Appendix A: equations used in the econometric model; Notes; Bibliography; Interviews; Index |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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Drawing on interviews with the UK government's Panel of Independent Forecasters, the author shows how economic models, forecasts and policy analysis depend crucially upon the judgements of economists. |
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