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Record Nr. |
UNINA9911136868303321 |
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Autore |
Mason Colin <1926-> |
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Titolo |
The 2030 spike : countdown to global catastrophe / / Colin Mason |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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London ; ; Sterling, VA, : Earthscan Publications, 2003 |
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ISBN |
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1-136-55510-2 |
1-136-55511-0 |
1-280-47605-2 |
9786610476053 |
1-84977-285-1 |
600-00-0012-X |
1-4175-4255-1 |
9781849772853 |
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Edizione |
[2nd ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (256 p.) |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Twenty-first century |
Environmental policy |
Natural resources |
Social prediction |
Catastrophical, The |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references (p. [230]-243) and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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THE 2030 SPIKE COUNTDOWN TO GLOBAL CATASTROPHE; Copyright; CONTENTS; About the Author; PART ONE: CRISIS MODE; Chapter 1 The Drivers; Chapter 2 Running Out Of Fuel: The Coming Energy Crunch; Chapter 3 Population And Poverty; Chapter 4 Climate: Too Hot Or Too Cold?; Chapter 5 Famines: Food And Water; Chapter 6 One World?; Chapter 7 The Fourth Horseman; PART TWO: DIRECTIONS; Chapter 8 Which Way Science?; Chapter 9 In The Genes: New Plants - And People?; Chapter 10 The Values Of The Sea; Chapter 11 Multinationals: Good Business Or Bad?; Chapter 12 The Trouble With Money |
PART THREE: UPGRADING THE INDIVIDUALChapter 13 The Pursuit Of Happiness; Chapter 14 Love, Family And Freedom; Chapter 15 Habitat: |
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The Dilemma Of The Cities; Chapter 16 Making Education Work; Chapter 17 Health And Wealth; Chapter 18 Religion: The Cement Of Society?; PART FOUR: THE NEW SOCIETY?; Chapter 19 The Mechanics Of Change; Chapter 20 Automation And Employment; Chapter 21 Travelling Less?; Chapter 22 Working Online; Chapter 23 The Information Overload; Chapter 24 The Toxic Culture; Chapter 25 Running The Show; Chapter 26 Conclusion: World To Come; Notes; Index |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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The clock is relentlessly ticking! Our world teeters on a knife-edge between a peaceful and prosperous future for all, and a dark winter of death and destruction that threatens to smother the light of civilization. Within 30 years, in the 2030 decade, six powerful 'drivers' will converge with unprecedented force in a statistical spike that could tear humanity apart and plunge the world into a new Dark Age. Depleted fuel supplies, massive population growth, poverty, global climate change, famine, growing water shortages and international lawlessness are on a crash course with potentially catastrophic consequences. In the face of both doomsaying and denial over the state of our world, Colin Mason cuts through the rhetoric and reams of conflicting data to muster the evidence to illustrate a broad picture of the world as it is, and our possible futures. Ultimately his message is clear; we must act decisively, collectively and immediately to alter the trajectory of humanity away from catastrophe. Offering over 100 priorities for immediate action, The 2030 Spike serves as a guidebook for humanity through the treacherous minefields and wastelands ahead to a bright, peaceful and prosperous future in which all humans have the opportunity to thrive and build a better civilization. This book is powerful and essential reading for all people concerned with the future of humanity and planet earth. |
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2. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9911132338603321 |
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Autore |
Hilbe Joseph M. <1944-> |
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Titolo |
Logistic regression models / / Joseph M. Hilbe |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Boca Raton : , : Chapman & Hall/CRC, , 2009 |
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ISBN |
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9781040069127 |
1040069126 |
9780429149139 |
0429149131 |
9781420075779 |
1420075772 |
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Edizione |
[1st ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (658 p.) |
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Collana |
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Chapman & Hall/CRC texts in Statistical Science Series |
A Chapman & Hall Book |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Logistic regression analysis - Data processing |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Front cover; Contents; Preface; Chapter 1. Introduction; Chapter 2. Concepts Related to the Logistic Model; Chapter 3. Estimation Methods; Chapter 4. Derivation of the Binary Logistic Algorithm; Chapter 5. Model Development; Chapter 6. Inteactions; Chapter 7. Analysis of Model Fit; Chapter 8. Binomial Logistic Regression; Chapter 9. Overdispersion; Chapter 10. Ordered Logistic Regression; Chapter 11. Multinomial Logistic Regression; Chapter 12. Alternative Categorical Response Models; Chapter 13. Panel Models; Chapter 14. Other Types of Logistic-Based Models |
Chapter 15. Exact Logistic RegressionConclusion; Appendix A: Brief Guide to Using Stata Commands; Appendix B: Stata and R Logistic Models; Appendix C: Greek Letters and Major Functions; Appendix D: Stata Binary Logistic Command; Appendix E: Derivation of the Beta Binomial; Appendix F: Likelihood Function of the Adaptive Gauss-Hermite Quadrature Method of Estimation; Appendix G: Data Sets; Appendix H: Marginal Effects and Discrete Change ; References; Author Index; Subject Index; Back cover |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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This text presents an overview of the full range of logistic models, including binary, proportional, ordered, and categorical response regression procedures. It illustrates how to apply the models to medical, health, environmental/ecological, physical, and social science data. Stata is used to develop, evaluate, and display most models while R code is given at the end of most chapters. The author examines the theoretical foundation of the models and describes how each type of model is established, interpreted, and evaluated as to its goodness of fit. Example data sets are available online in various formats and a solutions manual is available upon qualifying course adoption. |
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