1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910975146703321

Autore

Sahay Ratna

Titolo

Volatility and Growth in Latin America : : An Episodic Approach / / Ratna Sahay, Rishi Goyal

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

9786613828514

9781462390151

1462390153

9781451990355

1451990359

9781283516068

1283516063

9781451910001

1451910002

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (54 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

GoyalRishi

Soggetti

Business cycles - Latin America

Banks and Banking

Caribbean

Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy

Currency crises

Currency

Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics: General

Economic & financial crises & disasters

Economic History: Macroeconomics

Exchange rate arrangements

Finance

Financial crises

Financial services

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

Growth and Fluctuations: Latin America

Institutions and the Macroeconomy

Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Macroeconomics



Macrostructural analysis

Public Finance

Real interest rates

Stabilization

Structural reforms

Treasury Policy

Latin America Economic policy

Latin America Economic conditions

Venezuela, República Bolivariana de

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"December 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 49-52).

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE BUILDING BLOCKS""; ""III. LEVEL AND VOLATILITY OF MACROECONOMIC OUTCOMES""; ""IV. MAGNITUDE AND VOLATILITY OF SHOCKS""; ""V. MACROECONOMIC POLICY VOLATILITY""; ""VI. STRUCTURAL POLICY VOLATILITY AND REFORM REVERSALS""; ""VII. CONSTRAINTS FACED BY POLICYMAKERS""; ""VIII. WHAT HAVE WE LEARNT SO FAR?""; ""IX. REGRESSION ANALYSIS�COMPLEMENTING THE EPISODIC APPROACH""; ""X. CONCLUSION""; ""APPENDIX I""; ""REFERENCES""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper compares the pattern of macroeconomic volatility in 17 Latin American countries during episodes of high and low growth since 1970, examining in particular the role of policy volatility. Macroeconomic outcomes are distinguished from macroeconomic policies, structural reforms and reversals, shocks, and institutional constraints. Based on previous work, a composite measure of structural reforms is constructed for the 1970-2004 period. We find that outcomes and policies are more volatile in low growth episodes, while shocks (except U.S. interest rates) are similar across episodes. Fiscal policy volatility is associated with lower growth, but fiscal policy procyclicality is not. Low levels of market-oriented reforms and structural reform reversals are also associated with lower growth.