1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910974168203321

Autore

Müller Gernot

Titolo

What Determines Government  Spending Multipliers? / / Gernot Müller, Andre Meier, Giancarlo Corsetti

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012

ISBN

9781475528718

147552871X

9781475556926

1475556926

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (47 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

CorsettiGiancarlo

MeierAndre

Disciplina

332.1

Soggetti

Multiplier (Economics)

Monetary policy

Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy

Currency

Economic & financial crises & disasters

Exchange rate arrangements

Expenditure

Expenditures, Public

Financial Crises

Financial crises

Financial Risk Management

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

Macroeconomics

National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General

Open Economy Macroeconomics

Public finance & taxation

Public Finance

Real exchange rates

Stabilization

Treasury Policy

United States



Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; 1 Introduction; 2 Fiscal policy in different economic environments; 2.1 A theoretical benchmark; 2.2 Pegged exchange rates; 2.3 Weak public finances; 2.4 Financial crises; 3 Empirical strategy; 3.1 Identification issues; 3.2 The first step: Identifying government spending shocks; 3.3 The second step: Tracing the effects of government spending in different economic environments; 3.4 The data; 4 Systematic and non-systematic changes in government spending; 5 The effects of government spending shocks; 5.1 Unconditional effects; 5.2 Accounting for the economic environment

5.3 Sensitivity analysis6 Conclusion; References; Tables; Table 1. Composition of Initial and Final Samples; Table 2. Data Sources and Definitions; Table 3. Results of First-Step Regression; Table 4. Summary Statistics for Estimated Government Spending Shocks; Table 5. Overview of Dummy Characteristics; Figure 5: Results for narrow definition of financial crisis; Figure 6: Results for alternative definition of weak public finances (government debt > 120 percent of GDP and/or lagged net borrowing > 7 percent of GDP); Figure 7: Results for difference specification

Figure 8: Results for first-step specification which includes contemporaneous value of crisis dummyFigure 9: Results without CLI in first step; Figure 10: Results for sample without 2007-2008; Figure 11: Results for sample without United States

Sommario/riassunto

This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate regime, public indebtedness, and health of the financial system. The unconditional responses to a positive spending shock broadly confirm earlier findings. However, conditional responses differ systematically across exchange rate regimes, as real appreciation and external deficits occur mainly under currency pegs. We also find output and consumption multipliers to be unusually high during times of financial crisis.